Zambia Super League Β· Β·Matchday 8

Roan United vs Chirundu Utd

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score Β· 22% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Roan United 31%
Draw 38%
Chirundu Utd 31%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
78%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
31%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
22% of simulated outcomes

Roan United vs Chirundu Utd overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Roan United vs Chirundu Utd

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRoan UnitedDrawChirundu Utd
Model31.1%38.1%30.7%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final31.1%38.1%30.7%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Roan United vs Chirundu Utd match preview

Roan United and Chirundu Utd are set to face off in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for November 18, 2026. According to our model, the probabilities for the match outcome are evenly split, with Roan United and Chirundu Utd each at 31%, while a draw is slightly favored at 38%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-0, occurring at a rate of 22%. Both teams are expected to generate similar offensive output, with an expected goals figure of 0.79 for each side.

In terms of recent form, Roan United has recorded two draws, two losses, and one win in their last five matches, while Chirundu Utd has achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same timeframe. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 21%, and the probability of both teams scoring stands at 31%. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Roan United ↓ / Chirundu Utd β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 22% 15% 1 15% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 78%
2+ goals 48%
3+ goals 21%
No goals 22%

Roan United and Chirundu Utd expected goals

Roan United 0.79
Chirundu Utd 0.79

Total expected goals: 1.58

Roan United and Chirundu Utd attack and defence ratings

Roan United

Attack 0.86 -14%
Defence 1.30 +30%

Chirundu Utd

Attack 0.84 -16%
Defence 0.87 -13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Zambia Super League

Before and after this match

Roan United vs Chirundu Utd markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 38.1% 2.62 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 78.8% 1.27 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 68.8% 1.45 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.3% 1.44 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 68.9% 1.45 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Roan United31.1%
Draw38.1%
Chirundu Utd30.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.521.2%
Under 2.578.8%
Both teams to scoreYes31.2%
No68.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.3%
12 (either side)61.9%
X2 (draw or away)68.9%
Handicap -1Roan United win10.4%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss68.9%
Correct score (top 3)0-021.8%
1-015.0%
0-114.9%

Roan United vs Chirundu Utd stats

Roan United and Chirundu Utd recent form

newest first
Roan United DDLLDW
Chirundu Utd LDWWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Roan United and Chirundu Utd season so far

league record

Roan United record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Chirundu Utd record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Roan United vs Chirundu Utd head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Roan United vs Chirundu Utd odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot X Draw Predicted score 0 – 0 Low Bet Now
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