Mufulira Wanderers
vs
Kabwe Warriors
Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw
0 β 0 Predicted score Β· 22% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors
| Probability | Mufulira Wanderers | Draw | Kabwe Warriors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.4% | 38.2% | 36.4% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 25.4% | 38.2% | 36.4% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors match preview
Mufulira Wanderers will face Kabwe Warriors in the Zambia Super League on November 18, 2026. According to our model, Mufulira Wanderers have a 25% chance of winning, while Kabwe Warriors have a 36% chance, with a 38% probability of a draw. The expected goals for Mufulira Wanderers stand at 0.68, compared to 0.87 for Kabwe Warriors, indicating a slight edge for the visitors.
Recent form shows Mufulira Wanderers with a record of D-L-L-D-D-L, while Kabwe Warriors have D-D-L-W-D-L. In their last two encounters, Kabwe Warriors have won both matches against Mufulira Wanderers. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is a 0-0 draw at 22%, with only a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mufulira Wanderers and Kabwe Warriors expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.55
Mufulira Wanderers and Kabwe Warriors attack and defence ratings
Mufulira Wanderers
Kabwe Warriors
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Draw | 38.2% | 2.61 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 79.6% | 1.26 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 70.0% | 1.43 | β | β |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | 1.34 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.6% | 1.57 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mufulira Wanderers | 25.4% |
| Draw | 38.2% | |
| Kabwe Warriors | 36.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 20.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 79.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.0% |
| No | 70.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 61.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Kabwe Warriors win | 13.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.2% | |
| Loss | 63.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 22.4% |
| 0-1 | 17.2% | |
| 1-1 | 13.8% |
Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors stats
Mufulira Wanderers and Kabwe Warriors recent form
| DLLDDL | |
| DDLWDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mufulira Wanderers and Kabwe Warriors season so far
Mufulira Wanderers record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-08 | Kabwe Warriors | Mufulira Wanderers | Zambia Super League | 2-0 |
| 2025-11-01 | Mufulira Wanderers | Kabwe Warriors | Zambia Super League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.