Zambia Super League Β· Β·Matchday 8

Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score Β· 22% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mufulira Wanderers 25%
Draw 38%
Kabwe Warriors 36%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
78%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
30%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
22% of simulated outcomes

Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMufulira WanderersDrawKabwe Warriors
Model25.4%38.2%36.4%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final25.4%38.2%36.4%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors match preview

Mufulira Wanderers will face Kabwe Warriors in the Zambia Super League on November 18, 2026. According to our model, Mufulira Wanderers have a 25% chance of winning, while Kabwe Warriors have a 36% chance, with a 38% probability of a draw. The expected goals for Mufulira Wanderers stand at 0.68, compared to 0.87 for Kabwe Warriors, indicating a slight edge for the visitors.

Recent form shows Mufulira Wanderers with a record of D-L-L-D-D-L, while Kabwe Warriors have D-D-L-W-D-L. In their last two encounters, Kabwe Warriors have won both matches against Mufulira Wanderers. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is a 0-0 draw at 22%, with only a 20% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 30% chance for both teams to score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Mufulira Wande ↓ / Kabwe Warriors β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 22% 17% 1 13% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 78%
2+ goals 47%
3+ goals 20%
No goals 22%

Mufulira Wanderers and Kabwe Warriors expected goals

Mufulira Wanderers 0.68
Kabwe Warriors 0.87

Total expected goals: 1.55

Mufulira Wanderers and Kabwe Warriors attack and defence ratings

Mufulira Wanderers

Attack 0.54 -46%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Kabwe Warriors

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.18 +18%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Zambia Super League

Before and after this match

Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 38.2% 2.61 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79.6% 1.26 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 70.0% 1.43 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 74.6% 1.34 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 63.6% 1.57 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Mufulira Wanderers25.4%
Draw38.2%
Kabwe Warriors36.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.520.4%
Under 2.579.6%
Both teams to scoreYes30.0%
No70.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)63.6%
12 (either side)61.8%
X2 (draw or away)74.6%
Handicap -1Kabwe Warriors win13.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.2%
Loss63.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-022.4%
0-117.2%
1-113.8%

Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors stats

Mufulira Wanderers and Kabwe Warriors recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Mufulira Wanderers and Kabwe Warriors season so far

league record

Mufulira Wanderers record

  • They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.

Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Mufulira Wanderers wins 0Draws 2Kabwe Warriors wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-08Kabwe WarriorsMufulira WanderersZambia Super League2-0
2025-11-01Mufulira WanderersKabwe WarriorsZambia Super League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Mufulira Wanderers vs Kabwe Warriors odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot X Draw Predicted score 0 – 0 Low Bet Now
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