Mutondo Stars
vs
Roan United
Garuda Lions Prediction: Roan United
0 – 1 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.93.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mutondo Stars vs Roan United overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mutondo Stars vs Roan United
| Probability | Mutondo Stars | Draw | Roan United |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 25.9% | 31.3% | 42.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 25.9% | 31.3% | 42.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Roan United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.26 vs 0.93.
Mutondo Stars vs Roan United match preview
Mutondo Stars face Roan United in the Zambia Super League on November 1, 2026. According to our model, Mutondo Stars have a 26% chance of winning, while Roan United's probability stands at 43%, with a draw at 31%. The expected goals for Mutondo Stars is 0.93, compared to Roan United's 1.26. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 13%.
In terms of recent form, Mutondo Stars have struggled with five consecutive losses followed by one win, while Roan United has recorded one loss, one draw, and one win in their last three matches. There is a 38% probability of over 2.5 goals, and both teams are expected to score at a rate of 45%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mutondo Stars and Roan United expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.19
Mutondo Stars and Roan United attack and defence ratings
Mutondo Stars
Roan United
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Green Eagles vs Kabwe Warriors
- Nkwazi v ZESCO United — match page
- Power Dynamos vs Nkana — team news & stats
- Red Arrows vs Chirundu Utd
- Nchanga Rangers v Man Utd Zambia Academy — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs NAPSA Stars — team news & stats
- Green Buffaloes v Mufulira Wanderers — match page
- Makeni All Stars vs Konkola Blades
Before and after this match
Mutondo Stars vs Roan United markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Roan United | 42.8% | 2.34 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.2% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mutondo Stars | 25.9% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Roan United | 42.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.7% |
| No | 55.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 74.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Roan United win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.9% | |
| Loss | 57.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-1 | 12.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.5% |
Mutondo Stars vs Roan United stats
Mutondo Stars and Roan United recent form
| Mutondo Stars |
LLLLLW |
| Roan United |
LDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.