Nchanga Rangers
vs
Trident
Garuda Lions Prediction: Nchanga Rangers
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
Nchanga Rangers vs Trident overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Nchanga Rangers vs Trident
| Probability | Nchanga Rangers | Draw | Trident |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.7% | 36.6% | 24.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.7% | 36.6% | 24.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Nchanga Rangers
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Nchanga Rangers vs Trident match preview
Nchanga Rangers are set to face Trident in the Zambia Super League on October 14, 2026. According to our model, Nchanga Rangers have a 39% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 37% and Trident at 25%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Nchanga Rangers, with an expected goals tally of 0.96 for them and 0.71 for Trident.
Recent form shows Nchanga Rangers with three losses, one draw, and two wins in their last six matches, while Trident has lost their most recent game. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 23%, and the probability of both teams scoring is at 33%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Nchanga Rangers and Trident expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.67
Nchanga Rangers and Trident attack and defence ratings
Nchanga Rangers
Trident
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
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- NAPSA Stars vs Nkana — team news & stats
- Konkola Blades v Man Utd Zambia Academy — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs Power Dynamos — team news & stats
- Roan United vs ZESCO United
- Mutondo Stars v Green Buffaloes — match page
- Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Nchanga Rangers vs Trident markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nchanga Rangers | 38.7% | 2.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 76.6% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.3% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Nchanga Rangers | 38.7% |
| Draw | 36.6% | |
| Trident | 24.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 23.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 76.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.5% |
| No | 67.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Nchanga Rangers win | 15.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 61.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 20.2% |
| 1-0 | 16.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.1% |
Nchanga Rangers vs Trident stats
Nchanga Rangers and Trident recent form
| Nchanga Rangers |
LLLDWW |
| Trident |
L |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.