Green Eagles
vs
Red Arrows
Garuda Lions Prediction: Red Arrows
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Green Eagles vs Red Arrows overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Green Eagles vs Red Arrows
| Probability | Green Eagles | Draw | Red Arrows |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.2% | 33.9% | 38.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.2% | 33.9% | 38.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Red Arrows
- Better recent form: 5 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Green Eagles vs Red Arrows match preview
Green Eagles face Red Arrows in the Zambia Super League, with kickoff scheduled for October 14, 2026. According to our model, Green Eagles have a 27% chance of winning, while Red Arrows are favored with a 39% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 14%. Expected goals for Green Eagles stand at 0.85, compared to Red Arrows' 1.07, indicating a potential struggle for the home side to find the net.
In terms of recent form, Green Eagles have recorded two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Red Arrows are in strong form with five wins and a draw in their last six outings. The head-to-head record is evenly matched over the last two encounters, with each team securing one victory. The model suggests a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 39% likelihood of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Green Eagles and Red Arrows expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.93
Green Eagles and Red Arrows attack and defence ratings
Green Eagles
Red Arrows
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 3 fixtures
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- NAPSA Stars vs Nkana — team news & stats
- Nchanga Rangers vs Trident
- Konkola Blades v Man Utd Zambia Academy — match page
- Kansanshi Dynamos vs Power Dynamos — team news & stats
- Roan United vs ZESCO United
- Mutondo Stars v Green Buffaloes — match page
- Chirundu Utd vs Kabwe Warriors — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Green Eagles vs Red Arrows markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Red Arrows | 38.9% | 2.57 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.6% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.1% | 1.64 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Green Eagles | 27.2% |
| Draw | 33.9% | |
| Red Arrows | 38.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.1% |
| No | 60.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 61.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Red Arrows win | 16.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 61.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.9% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 14.3% |
Green Eagles vs Red Arrows stats
Green Eagles and Red Arrows recent form
| Green Eagles |
WLLLWW |
| Red Arrows |
WWWWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Green Eagles vs Red Arrows head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Red Arrows | Green Eagles | Zambia Super League | 2-1 |
| 2026-01-18 | Green Eagles | Red Arrows | Zambia Super League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.