Konkola Blades
vs
Man Utd Zambia Academy
Garuda Lions Prediction: Konkola Blades
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy
| Probability | Konkola Blades | Draw | Man Utd Zambia Academy |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.7% | 28.3% | 20.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 51.7% | 28.3% | 20.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Konkola Blades
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.52 vs 0.86.
Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy match preview
Konkola Blades are favored to win against Man Utd Zambia Academy with a 52% probability, while the visitors have a 20% chance of victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Konkola Blades, which has a 13% probability. The expected goals for Konkola Blades stand at 1.52, compared to 0.86 for Man Utd Zambia Academy, indicating a stronger offensive performance anticipated from the home side.
In terms of recent form, Konkola Blades have recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while Man Utd Zambia Academy has two wins, one draw, and two losses. The head-to-head record shows Konkola Blades have yet to secure a win against Man Utd Zambia Academy, with one draw and one loss in their last two encounters. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Konkola Blades and Man Utd Zambia Academy expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Konkola Blades and Man Utd Zambia Academy attack and defence ratings
Konkola Blades
Man Utd Zambia Academy
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.3% | 2.07 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Konkola Blades | 51.7% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Man Utd Zambia Academy | 20.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.3% |
| No | 53.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 48.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Konkola Blades win | 27.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 48.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.3% |
| 1-0 | 12.8% | |
| 2-0 | 10.7% |
Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy stats
Konkola Blades and Man Utd Zambia Academy recent form
| Konkola Blades |
WWDWLD |
| Man Utd Zambia Academy |
DWLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Konkola Blades vs Man Utd Zambia Academy head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-12 | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Konkola Blades | Zambia Super League | 1-1 |
| 2025-08-23 | Konkola Blades | Man Utd Zambia Academy | Zambia Super League | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.