CAF Confederation Cup · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Black Bulls Maputo vs Rayon Sports

2 – 2 Full time

19′Rayon Sports
49′Black Bulls Maputo
85′Rayon Sports
87′Black Bulls Maputo
Black Bulls Maputo 45%
Draw 31%
Rayon Sports 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Black Bulls Maputo vs Rayon Sports overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Black Bulls Maputo vs Rayon Sports

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBlack Bulls MaputoDrawRayon Sports
Model54.2%34.1%11.7%
Market41.8%29.5%28.7%
Final44.9%30.6%24.4%
Edge+3.1%+1.1%-4.2%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Black Bulls Maputo

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.39.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Black Bulls Maputo below our published probability: +3.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Black Bulls Ma ↓ / Rayon Sports → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 22% 1 24% 2 14% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 78%
2+ goals 47%
3+ goals 20%
No goals 22%

Black Bulls Maputo and Rayon Sports expected goals

Black Bulls Maputo 1.15
Rayon Sports 0.39

Total expected goals: 1.55

Black Bulls Maputo and Rayon Sports attack and defence ratings

Black Bulls Maputo

Attack 0.81 -19%
Defence 0.62 -38%

Rayon Sports

Attack 0.66 -34%
Defence 1.01 +1%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Black Bulls Maputo vs Rayon Sports: result vs prediction

Black Bulls Maputo 2 – 2 Rayon Sports

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Confederation Cup

Before and after this match

Black Bulls Maputo vs Rayon Sports markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Black Bulls Maputo 44.9% 2.23 +3.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 79.7% 1.25 — —
Both teams to score No 76.8% 1.30 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.6% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.8% 2.18 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Black Bulls Maputo44.9%
Draw30.6%
Rayon Sports24.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.520.3%
Under 2.579.7%
Both teams to scoreYes23.2%
No76.8%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.6%
12 (either side)69.4%
X2 (draw or away)55.1%
Handicap -1Black Bulls Maputo win24.6%
Push (exactly one goal)29.6%
Loss45.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-023.6%
0-022.3%
2-014.1%

Black Bulls Maputo vs Rayon Sports stats

Black Bulls Maputo and Rayon Sports recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Black Bulls Maputo vs Rayon Sports head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Black Bulls Maputo wins 0Draws 0Rayon Sports wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-17Rayon SportsBlack Bulls MaputoCAF Confederation Cup0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Black Bulls Maputo vs Rayon Sports odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.8%, draw 29.5%, away 28.7%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.12 3.05 3.23
Bet365 2.15 3.10 3.10
Betano 2.20 3.00 3.10
Betfair 2.15 3.10 3.10
Dafabet 2.24 3.20 3.20
Marathonbet 2.10 3.05 3.14
William Hill 2.15 2.80 3.20

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.15 ▼ -0.06
X 3.05 ▼ -0.07
2 3.14 ▲ +0.18

10 snapshots recorded, from .