CS Sfaxien
vs
Black Bulls Maputo
Garuda Lions Prediction: CS Sfaxien
1 – 0 Predicted score · 21% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.99 vs 0.52.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
CS Sfaxien vs Black Bulls Maputo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CS Sfaxien vs Black Bulls Maputo
| Probability | CS Sfaxien | Draw | Black Bulls Maputo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.9% | 37.3% | 17.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.9% | 37.3% | 17.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CS Sfaxien
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.99 vs 0.52.
CS Sfaxien vs Black Bulls Maputo match preview
CS Sfaxien faces Black Bulls Maputo in the CAF Confederation Cup with a probability of 45% for a home victory, while a draw stands at 37% and an away win for Black Bulls Maputo at 18%. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-0, with a 21% chance of occurring. Expected goals are 0.99 for CS Sfaxien and 0.52 for Black Bulls Maputo, indicating a stronger offensive performance from the home side.
In terms of recent form, CS Sfaxien has recorded two draws, a win, and two losses in their last five matches, while Black Bulls Maputo has achieved two wins, two draws, and one loss in the same period. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 19%, and both teams scoring is predicted at 27%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CS Sfaxien and Black Bulls Maputo expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.51
CS Sfaxien and Black Bulls Maputo attack and defence ratings
CS Sfaxien
Black Bulls Maputo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Caf Confederation Cup - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
CS Sfaxien vs Black Bulls Maputo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Sfaxien | 44.9% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 73.3% | 1.36 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CS Sfaxien | 44.9% |
| Draw | 37.3% | |
| Black Bulls Maputo | 17.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 19.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 80.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 26.7% |
| No | 73.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 62.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | CS Sfaxien win | 18.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 26.8% | |
| Loss | 55.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 23.2% |
| 1-0 | 20.7% | |
| 1-1 | 12.5% |
CS Sfaxien vs Black Bulls Maputo stats
CS Sfaxien and Black Bulls Maputo recent form
| CS Sfaxien |
DDWDLW |
| Black Bulls Maputo |
DWDWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.