FAR Rabat
vs
Durban City
Garuda Lions Prediction: FAR Rabat
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.85.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
FAR Rabat vs Durban City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FAR Rabat vs Durban City
| Probability | FAR Rabat | Draw | Durban City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.5% | 26.5% | 18.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.5% | 26.5% | 18.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FAR Rabat
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
FAR Rabat vs Durban City match preview
FAR Rabat enters the match against Durban City with a 56% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 27% and Durban City at 18%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 12% likelihood. FAR Rabat has an expected goals figure of 1.67 compared to Durban City's 0.85, indicating a stronger offensive potential.
In terms of recent form, FAR Rabat has recorded a sequence of W-L-D-W-W-D, showing resilience and capability. Conversely, Durban City has struggled, with a record of L-W-W-L-D-L. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 46%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 48%, suggesting a competitive match ahead. The confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FAR Rabat and Durban City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.52
FAR Rabat and Durban City attack and defence ratings
FAR Rabat
Durban City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Caf Confederation Cup - 1 fixtures
Before and after this match
FAR Rabat vs Durban City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAR Rabat | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.3% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.5% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FAR Rabat | 55.5% |
| Draw | 26.5% | |
| Durban City | 18.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.7% |
| No | 52.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | FAR Rabat win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 44.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.6% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 2-0 | 11.2% |
FAR Rabat vs Durban City stats
FAR Rabat and Durban City recent form
| FAR Rabat |
WLDWWD |
| Durban City |
LWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.