CAF Confederation Cup Β· Β·Caf Confederation Cup - 1

Raja Casablanca vs ASC Kara

Garuda Lions Prediction: Raja Casablanca

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.90.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stade Mohamed V, Casablanca

Raja Casablanca 55%
Draw 26%
ASC Kara 19%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Raja Casablanca wins
55%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
50%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Raja Casablanca vs ASC Kara overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Raja Casablanca vs ASC Kara

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityRaja CasablancaDrawASC Kara
Model54.7%26.4%18.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final54.7%26.4%18.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Raja Casablanca

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.90.

Raja Casablanca vs ASC Kara match preview

Raja Casablanca is set to face ASC Kara in the CAF Confederation Cup, with the kickoff scheduled for November 28, 2026. According to our model, Raja Casablanca has a 55% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 26% and ASC Kara at 19%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, occurring with a 12% likelihood. Raja Casablanca's expected goals are 1.69, compared to ASC Kara's 0.90, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.

In terms of recent form, Raja Casablanca has recorded two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five matches, while ASC Kara has achieved three wins, two losses, and one draw in the same period. Our model suggests a 48% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 50% probability that both teams will score. The confidence grade for this match is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Raja Casablanc ↓ / ASC Kara β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 12% 13% 2 11% 10% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 48%
No goals 9%

Raja Casablanca and ASC Kara expected goals

Raja Casablanca 1.69
ASC Kara 0.90

Total expected goals: 2.59

Raja Casablanca and ASC Kara attack and defence ratings

Raja Casablanca

Attack 1.16 +16%
Defence 0.79 -21%

ASC Kara

Attack 1.19 +19%
Defence 1.02 +2%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Caf Confederation Cup - 1 fixtures

CAF Confederation Cup

Before and after this match

Raja Casablanca vs ASC Kara markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Raja Casablanca 54.7% 1.83 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.1% 1.92 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 50.4% 1.98 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 81.1% 1.23 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 45.3% 2.21 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Raja Casablanca54.7%
Draw26.4%
ASC Kara18.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.9%
Under 2.552.1%
Both teams to scoreYes49.6%
No50.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)81.1%
12 (either side)73.6%
X2 (draw or away)45.3%
Handicap -1Raja Casablanca win30.8%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss45.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.6%
1-011.5%
2-010.7%

Raja Casablanca vs ASC Kara stats

Raja Casablanca and ASC Kara recent form

newest first
Raja Casablanca WWLDWD
ASC Kara WLLWDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Raja Casablanca vs ASC Kara head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Raja Casablanca vs ASC Kara odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Raja Casablanca Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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