CAF Confederation Cup
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
ASC Kara
vs
Diarra
1 – 0 Full time
| 45′ | ASC Kara |
ASC Kara
46%
Draw
26%
Diarra
28%
ASC Kara vs Diarra overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ASC Kara vs Diarra
| Probability | ASC Kara | Draw | Diarra |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.7% | 26.0% | 28.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.7% | 26.0% | 28.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ASC Kara
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.31.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
ASC Kara and Diarra expected goals
ASC Kara
1.70
Diarra
1.31
Total expected goals: 3.00
ASC Kara and Diarra attack and defence ratings
ASC Kara
Attack
1.24 +24%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Diarra
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
0.96 -4%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ASC Kara vs Diarra: result vs prediction
ASC Kara 1 – 0 Diarra
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- Welwalo Adigrat Uni v Al Ahli Tripoli — match page
- Masr v Azam — match page
- Red Arrows vs Kaizer Chiefs — team news & stats
- Kitara vs Al Ahly — team news & stats
- ES Zarzis vs Réal Bamako — team news & stats
- AFAD vs CS Sfaxien — team news & stats
- Rayon Sports vs Black Bulls Maputo
- Korhogo v FAR Rabat — match page
Before and after this match
ASC Kara vs Diarra markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASC Kara | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% | 1.65 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ASC Kara | 45.7% |
| Draw | 26.0% | |
| Diarra | 28.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 60.6% |
| No | 39.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | ASC Kara win | 24.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.8% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 7.3% |
ASC Kara vs Diarra stats
ASC Kara vs Diarra head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
0ASC Kara wins
0Draws
1Diarra wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Diarra | ASC Kara | CAF Confederation Cup | 3-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.