Zamalek SC
vs
Al Ahly
Garuda Lions Prediction: Al Ahly
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly
| Probability | Zamalek SC | Draw | Al Ahly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.4% | 32.8% | 22.8% |
| Market | 21.7% | 28.5% | 49.8% |
| Final | 27.4% | 29.6% | 43.1% |
| Edge | +22.7% | +4.3% | -27.0% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.88, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly match preview
Zamalek SC faces Al Ahly in the Egypt Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 25% probability of a Zamalek SC victory, a 31% chance of a draw, and a 44% likelihood of an Al Ahly win. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, with a 13% chance. Both teams have shown strong recent form, with Zamalek SC recording four wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Al Ahly remains unbeaten in their last six, with five wins and a draw.
In terms of expected goals, Zamalek SC is projected to score 0.96, while Al Ahly is expected to net 0.84. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 27%, and the chance of both teams scoring stands at 36%. Historically, Al Ahly has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two head-to-head matches against Zamalek SC.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Zamalek SC and Al Ahly expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.97
Zamalek SC and Al Ahly attack and defence ratings
Zamalek SC
Al Ahly
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Al Ahly | 43.1% | 2.32 | -27.0% | 1.88 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.0% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Zamalek SC | 27.4% |
| Draw | 29.6% | |
| Al Ahly | 43.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 31.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 39.0% |
| No | 61.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 56.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Al Ahly win | 7.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.5% | |
| Loss | 77.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.3% |
| 0-0 | 15.2% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly stats
Zamalek SC and Al Ahly recent form
| Zamalek SC |
WWWWWW |
| Al Ahly |
WDWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-01 | Zamalek SC | Al Ahly | Egypt Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2025-09-29 | Al Ahly | Zamalek SC | Egypt Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 21.7%, draw 28.5%, away 49.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 4.41 | 3.10 | 1.80 |
| Bet365 | 4.20 | 3.20 | 1.80 |
| BetVictor | 3.90 | 3.30 | 1.80 |
| Betano | 4.05 | 3.30 | 1.88 |
| Betfair | 4.20 | 3.40 | 1.85 |
| Dafabet | 4.00 | 3.20 | 1.85 |
| Marathonbet | 4.30 | 3.10 | 1.78 |
| Pinnacle | 4.89 | 3.14 | 1.83 |
| William Hill | 3.90 | 3.30 | 1.85 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
10 snapshots recorded, from .