Egypt Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly

0 – 2 Full time

39′Achraf Bencharki
66′Emam AshourOmar El Saeey
66′S. BenjdidaMonsef Bakrar
66′Abdallah El-SaidMohamed Ahmad Hamad Shehata
70′Omar Gaber
74′Mahmoud BentaygHossam Ashraf
74′Ahmed SherifAhmed Abdel Rahim
79′Ahmed FatouhOday Dabbagh
80′Monsef Bakrar
84′Achraf BencharkiHussein El Shahat
84′Zizo SayedTaher Mohamed
90′Akram TawfikAhmed Reda Hashem

Cairo International Stadium, CairoReferee: Rade Obrenovič, Slovenia

Zamalek SC 30%
Draw 31%
Al Ahly 39%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Match stats

8 Shots 14
2 Shots on target 3
51 Possession % 49
5 Corners 5
14 Fouls 13
3 Offsides 0
1 Saves 2
315 Accurate passes 303

Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityZamalek SCDrawAl Ahly
Model44.4%32.8%22.8%
Market25.3%29.9%44.8%
Final30.1%30.6%39.3%
Edge+4.8%+0.7%-5.5%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Zamalek SC ↓ / Al Ahly → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 10% 1 15% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 32%
No goals 15%

Zamalek SC and Al Ahly expected goals

Zamalek SC 1.19
Al Ahly 0.78

Total expected goals: 1.97

Zamalek SC and Al Ahly attack and defence ratings

Zamalek SC

Attack 1.39 +39%
Defence 0.50 -50%

Al Ahly

Attack 1.56 +56%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly: result vs prediction

Zamalek SC 0 – 2 Al Ahly

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Egypt Premier League

Before and after this match

Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Al Ahly 39.3% 2.54 -5.5% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.5% 1.46 — —
Both teams to score No 61.0% 1.64 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 69.9% 1.43 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 77.2% 1.30 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Zamalek SC30.1%
Draw30.6%
Al Ahly39.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.5%
Under 2.568.5%
Both teams to scoreYes39.0%
No61.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)60.7%
12 (either side)69.4%
X2 (draw or away)69.9%
Handicap -1Al Ahly win7.4%
Push (exactly one goal)15.5%
Loss77.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.3%
0-015.2%
1-114.2%

Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly stats

Zamalek SC and Al Ahly recent form

newest first
Zamalek SC WWWWWW
Al Ahly WDWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Zamalek SC and Al Ahly going into this match

league record before kick-off

Zamalek SC record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Al Ahly record

  • They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Zamalek SC wins 3Draws 4Al Ahly wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-01Zamalek SCAl AhlyEgypt Premier League0-3
2025-11-09Al AhlyZamalek SCSuper Cup2-0
2025-09-29Al AhlyZamalek SCEgypt Premier League2-1
2025-03-11Zamalek SCAl AhlyPremier League3-0
2025-02-22Al AhlyZamalek SCPremier League1-1
2024-10-24Al AhlyZamalek SCSuper Cup0-0
2024-09-27Al AhlyZamalek SCCAF Super Cup1-1
2024-04-15Zamalek SCAl AhlyPremier League2-1
2024-03-08Zamalek SCAl AhlyCup0-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Zamalek SC vs Al Ahly odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.3%, draw 29.9%, away 44.8%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 3.87 2.88 2.00
Bet365 3.60 2.88 2.05
BetVictor 3.40 3.10 2.00
Betano 3.65 3.10 2.07
Betfair 3.70 3.10 2.05
Dafabet 3.60 3.15 2.06
Marathonbet 3.76 2.88 1.98
Pinnacle 4.10 3.03 2.10
SBO 3.24 3.04 1.95
William Hill 3.60 3.10 2.05

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.62 ▼ -0.67
X 3.07 ▼ -0.07
2 2.05 ▲ +0.20

14 snapshots recorded, from .