National Bank of Egypt
vs
El Geish
Garuda Lions Prediction: National Bank of Egypt
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish overview
Garuda Lions analysis: National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish
| Probability | National Bank of Egypt | Draw | El Geish |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.0% | 32.5% | 29.5% |
| Market | 47.3% | 30.8% | 21.9% |
| Final | 45.0% | 31.2% | 23.8% |
| Edge | -9.4% | +1.8% | +7.6% |
Best available price on the pick: 2.00, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish match preview
The upcoming match between National Bank of Egypt and El Geish in the Egypt Premier League presents an intriguing contest. National Bank of Egypt holds a 38% probability of winning, while El Geish stands at 29%, with a 33% chance of a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of National Bank of Egypt, with an expected goals tally of 1.13 compared to El Geish's 0.97.
Recent form shows National Bank of Egypt with a mixed record of L-W-W-L-L-D, while El Geish has struggled with L-D-L-W-W-L. In their last two encounters, National Bank of Egypt has yet to secure a win, recording 0 wins, 1 draw, and 1 loss against El Geish. The probabilities indicate a competitive match, but confidence in the predictions is moderate with a grade of C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
National Bank of Egypt and El Geish expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.10
National Bank of Egypt and El Geish attack and defence ratings
National Bank of Egypt
El Geish
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | National Bank of Egypt | 45.0% | 2.22 | -9.4% | 2.00 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.7% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | National Bank of Egypt | 45.0% |
| Draw | 31.2% | |
| El Geish | 23.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.3% |
| No | 56.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | National Bank of Egypt win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.7% | |
| Loss | 62.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.8% |
| 0-0 | 13.6% | |
| 1-0 | 12.6% |
National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish stats
National Bank of Egypt and El Geish recent form
| National Bank of Egypt |
LWWLLD |
| El Geish |
LDLWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-09 | El Geish | National Bank of Egypt | Egypt Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-29 | National Bank of Egypt | El Geish | Egypt Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
National Bank of Egypt vs El Geish odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 47.3%, draw 30.8%, away 21.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.89 | 2.92 | 4.27 |
| Betano | 2.00 | 3.10 | 3.90 |
| Betfair | 1.91 | 3.10 | 4.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.87 | 2.92 | 4.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | 3.02 | 4.52 |
| William Hill | 1.95 | 2.90 | 4.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
6 snapshots recorded, from .