US Monastirienne
vs
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Garuda Lions Prediction: US Monastirienne
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
| Probability | US Monastirienne | Draw | Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.4% | 39.4% | 27.1% |
| Market | 48.7% | 31.6% | 19.6% |
| Final | 44.9% | 33.6% | 21.5% |
| Edge | -15.3% | +7.8% | +7.5% |
Best available price on the pick: 1.85, recorded — the top price across the books in the table below, each at its own last update.
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer match preview
US Monastirienne and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer are set to clash in the Tunisia Ligue 1 on October 18, 2026. According to our model, US Monastirienne has a 34% chance of winning, while a draw is favored at 39%, and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer stands at 27%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 0-0, occurring with a probability of 24%. The expected goals are 0.80 for US Monastirienne and 0.68 for Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer.
In terms of recent form, US Monastirienne has recorded a series of draws and wins, with their latest results being D-W-D-W-D-W. Conversely, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer has also shown strong performance with a streak of wins and draws, marked by W-D-W-D-W. The overall confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
US Monastirienne and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.48
US Monastirienne and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer attack and defence ratings
US Monastirienne
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Monastirienne | 44.9% | 2.23 | -15.3% | 1.85 |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 81.4% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Monastirienne | 44.9% |
| Draw | 33.6% | |
| Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer | 21.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 81.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 28.5% |
| No | 71.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 78.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | US Monastirienne win | 11.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 66.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 24.0% |
| 1-0 | 16.8% | |
| 0-1 | 14.4% |
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer stats
US Monastirienne and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer recent form
| US Monastirienne |
DWDWDW |
| Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer |
WDWDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
US Monastirienne and Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer season so far
US Monastirienne record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
US Monastirienne vs Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 48.7%, draw 31.6%, away 19.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.84 | 2.84 | 4.70 |
| Bet365 | 1.85 | 2.88 | 4.50 |
| BetVictor | 1.75 | 2.63 | 4.10 |
| Marathonbet | 1.82 | 2.84 | 4.55 |
| Pinnacle | 1.85 | 2.94 | 4.72 |
| William Hill | 1.85 | 2.75 | 4.60 |