Tunisia Ligue 1 · ·Matchday 7

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain

Garuda Lions Prediction: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

1 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 40%
Draw 39%
Club Africain 21%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer wins
40%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
75%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
26%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
20% of simulated outcomes

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityProgrès Sakiet EddaïerDrawClub Africain
Model39.8%39.2%20.9%
Market———
Final39.8%39.2%20.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.88 vs 0.56.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain match preview

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer faces Club Africain in a Tunisia Ligue 1 match with a kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer has a 40% chance of winning, while a draw is estimated at 39%, and Club Africain at 21%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer, with an expected goals tally of 0.88 for them and 0.56 for Club Africain.

In terms of recent form, Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer has recorded a sequence of W-D-W-D-W, indicating a solid performance. Conversely, Club Africain's recent results show a mix of D-L-W-D-W-W, suggesting some inconsistency. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is only 18%, and both teams scoring stands at 26%, reflecting a potentially low-scoring encounter.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Progrès Sakiet ↓ / Club Africain → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 25% 1 20% 13% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 75%
2+ goals 43%
3+ goals 18%
No goals 25%

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and Club Africain expected goals

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 0.88
Club Africain 0.56

Total expected goals: 1.44

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and Club Africain attack and defence ratings

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 0.63 -37%

Club Africain

Attack 1.25 +25%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Tunisia Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer 39.8% 2.51 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 82.4% 1.21 — —
Both teams to score No 73.7% 1.36 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.1% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 60.2% 1.66 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer39.8%
Draw39.2%
Club Africain20.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.517.6%
Under 2.582.4%
Both teams to scoreYes26.3%
No73.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.1%
12 (either side)60.8%
X2 (draw or away)60.2%
Handicap -1Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer win14.6%
Push (exactly one goal)25.3%
Loss60.2%
Correct score (top 3)0-024.9%
1-019.7%
1-112.8%

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain stats

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and Club Africain recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer and Club Africain season so far

league record

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs Club Africain odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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