Tunisia Ligue 1 · ·Matchday 3

Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain

Garuda Lions Prediction: Stade Tunisien

1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Stade Hedi-Enneifer, Le Bardo

Stade Tunisien 36%
Draw 33%
Club Africain 31%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Stade Tunisien wins
36%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
86%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
43%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityStade TunisienDrawClub Africain
Model36.5%32.7%30.9%
Market———
Final36.5%32.7%30.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain match preview

Stade Tunisien and Club Africain are set to face off in a tightly contested match, with Stade Tunisien holding a 36% probability of winning, while Club Africain stands at 31%. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Stade Tunisien, with an expected goals metric of 1.10 for Stade Tunisien compared to 0.99 for Club Africain.

In terms of recent form, Stade Tunisien has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Club Africain has been slightly more consistent with three wins and two draws in their last six outings. Historically, in their last two encounters, Stade Tunisien has yet to secure a win against Club Africain, who has one victory and one draw.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Stade Tunisien ↓ / Club Africain → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 14% 11% 1 12% 15% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 86%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 14%

Stade Tunisien and Club Africain expected goals

Stade Tunisien 1.10
Club Africain 0.99

Total expected goals: 2.09

Stade Tunisien and Club Africain attack and defence ratings

Stade Tunisien

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 0.99 -1%

Club Africain

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 0.90 -10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 3 fixtures

Tunisia Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Stade Tunisien 36.5% 2.74 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 65.2% 1.53 — —
Both teams to score No 56.7% 1.76 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 69.1% 1.45 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 63.5% 1.57 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Stade Tunisien36.5%
Draw32.7%
Club Africain30.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.534.8%
Under 2.565.2%
Both teams to scoreYes43.3%
No56.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.1%
12 (either side)67.3%
X2 (draw or away)63.5%
Handicap -1Stade Tunisien win15.4%
Push (exactly one goal)21.1%
Loss63.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.8%
0-013.7%
1-012.2%

Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain stats

Stade Tunisien and Club Africain recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Stade Tunisien and Club Africain season so far

league record

Stade Tunisien record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.

Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Stade Tunisien wins 1Draws 1Club Africain wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-03Club AfricainStade TunisienTunisia Ligue 12-0
2025-11-06Stade TunisienClub AfricainTunisia Ligue 10-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Stade Tunisien vs Club Africain odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Stade Tunisien Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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