Stade Tunisien
vs
CA Bizertin
Garuda Lions Prediction: Stade Tunisien
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.81.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin
| Probability | Stade Tunisien | Draw | CA Bizertin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.1% | 27.7% | 18.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.1% | 27.7% | 18.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Stade Tunisien
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.57 vs 0.81.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin match preview
Stade Tunisien enters the match against CA Bizertin with a 54% probability of winning, while CA Bizertin has an 18% chance. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Stade Tunisien, with a 13% likelihood. Stade Tunisien's expected goals stand at 1.57 compared to CA Bizertin's 0.81, indicating a stronger attacking performance anticipated from the home side.
Recent form shows Stade Tunisien with three wins and two losses in their last six matches, while CA Bizertin has two wins, two draws, and two losses. In their last two encounters, Stade Tunisien has secured one win and one draw against CA Bizertin, who has yet to win in this matchup. The probability of over 2.5 goals is at 43%, and both teams are expected to score 45% of the time.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Stade Tunisien and CA Bizertin expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.38
Stade Tunisien and CA Bizertin attack and defence ratings
Stade Tunisien
CA Bizertin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Tunisien | 54.1% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.7% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.9% | 2.18 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Stade Tunisien | 54.1% |
| Draw | 27.7% | |
| CA Bizertin | 18.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.3% |
| No | 54.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Stade Tunisien win | 29.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.7% | |
| Loss | 45.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.3% |
| 1-1 | 13.0% | |
| 2-0 | 11.4% |
Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin stats
Stade Tunisien and CA Bizertin recent form
| Stade Tunisien |
WWLWWL |
| CA Bizertin |
LWDLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Stade Tunisien and CA Bizertin season so far
Stade Tunisien record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
CA Bizertin record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- 39% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Stade Tunisien vs CA Bizertin head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-11 | Stade Tunisien | CA Bizertin | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-22 | CA Bizertin | Stade Tunisien | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.