Olympique Béja
vs
AS Marsa
Garuda Lions Prediction: AS Marsa
0 – 1 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa
| Probability | Olympique Béja | Draw | AS Marsa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 30.1% | 34.6% | 35.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 30.1% | 34.6% | 35.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why AS Marsa
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa match preview
In the upcoming Tunisia Ligue 1 match, Olympique Béja faces AS Marsa with a kickoff scheduled for November 20, 2026. According to our model, Olympique Béja has a 30% chance of winning, while both a draw and an AS Marsa victory are each estimated at 35%. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring with a 14% probability. Expected goals for Olympique Béja stand at 0.89, compared to 0.99 for AS Marsa.
Recent form shows Olympique Béja struggling with a sequence of results including three losses and three draws, whereas AS Marsa has recorded two wins alongside three draws in their last six matches. Historically, AS Marsa has dominated their recent encounters, winning both of the last two meetings against Olympique Béja. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Olympique Béja and AS Marsa expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.88
Olympique Béja and AS Marsa attack and defence ratings
Olympique Béja
AS Marsa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Marsa | 35.3% | 2.84 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.5% | 1.63 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 69.9% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 64.7% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Olympique Béja | 30.1% |
| Draw | 34.6% | |
| AS Marsa | 35.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.5% |
| No | 61.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | AS Marsa win | 13.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 64.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.6% |
| 1-1 | 14.8% | |
| 0-1 | 13.7% |
Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa stats
Olympique Béja and AS Marsa recent form
| Olympique Béja |
DLLDDL |
| AS Marsa |
DWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Olympique Béja and AS Marsa season so far
Olympique Béja record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
AS Marsa record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Olympique Béja vs AS Marsa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-03 | AS Marsa | Olympique Béja | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-04 | Olympique Béja | AS Marsa | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.