CA Bizertin
vs
ES Hammam-Sousse
Garuda Lions Prediction: CA Bizertin
1 – 0 Predicted score · 24% model probability
CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse
| Probability | CA Bizertin | Draw | ES Hammam-Sousse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 52.1% | 35.6% | 12.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 52.1% | 35.6% | 12.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why CA Bizertin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.08 vs 0.39.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse match preview
CA Bizertin enters this match with a probability of 52% to secure a victory against ES Hammam-Sousse, who have a lower chance of 12%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring at a rate of 24%. CA Bizertin's expected goals stand at 1.08, while ES Hammam-Sousse is projected to score only 0.39.
In terms of recent form, CA Bizertin has recorded two wins, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches, while ES Hammam-Sousse is struggling with five consecutive losses followed by a draw. The model indicates a 36% chance of a draw, with a low expectation of over 2.5 goals at just 19% and both teams scoring at 22%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CA Bizertin and ES Hammam-Sousse expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.48
CA Bizertin and ES Hammam-Sousse attack and defence ratings
CA Bizertin
ES Hammam-Sousse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Bizertin | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 81.5% | 1.23 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 77.6% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.9% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Bizertin | 52.1% |
| Draw | 35.6% | |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 12.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 18.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 81.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 22.4% |
| No | 77.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 47.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | CA Bizertin win | 22.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 29.5% | |
| Loss | 47.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 23.8% |
| 0-0 | 23.8% | |
| 2-0 | 13.5% |
CA Bizertin vs ES Hammam-Sousse stats
CA Bizertin and ES Hammam-Sousse recent form
| CA Bizertin |
DLDWWL |
| ES Hammam-Sousse |
LLLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CA Bizertin and ES Hammam-Sousse season so far
ES Hammam-Sousse record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.