CA Bizertin
vs
US Monastirienne
Garuda Lions Prediction: US Monastirienne
0 – 1 Predicted score · 15% model probability
CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne overview
Garuda Lions analysis: CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne
| Probability | CA Bizertin | Draw | US Monastirienne |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.9% | 35.1% | 37.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 27.9% | 35.1% | 37.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why US Monastirienne
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne match preview
In the upcoming match between CA Bizertin and US Monastirienne, the model suggests a competitive encounter with US Monastirienne holding a slight edge at 37% probability of winning compared to CA Bizertin's 28%. The likelihood of a draw stands at 35%. The most probable scoreline is 0-1, with a 15% chance of occurring.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with CA Bizertin recording one win in their last six matches (L-D-W-W-L-L), while US Monastirienne has fared better with three wins in their last six (W-D-W-D-W-L). Expected goals indicate CA Bizertin at 0.83 and US Monastirienne at 1.00, suggesting a tighter match with a moderate chance of over 2.5 goals at 28% and both teams scoring at 37%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
CA Bizertin and US Monastirienne expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.82
CA Bizertin and US Monastirienne attack and defence ratings
CA Bizertin
US Monastirienne
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Monastirienne | 37.0% | 2.70 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.5% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.0% | 1.59 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | CA Bizertin | 27.9% |
| Draw | 35.1% | |
| US Monastirienne | 37.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.8% |
| No | 63.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 72.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | US Monastirienne win | 14.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.4% | |
| Loss | 63.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.5% |
| 0-1 | 14.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.6% |
CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne stats
CA Bizertin and US Monastirienne recent form
| CA Bizertin |
LDWWLL |
| US Monastirienne |
WDWDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
CA Bizertin vs US Monastirienne head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | CA Bizertin | US Monastirienne | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-24 | US Monastirienne | CA Bizertin | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2025-01-19 | US Monastirienne | CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 | 3-1 |
| 2024-09-01 | CA Bizertin | US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2023-11-05 | US Monastirienne | CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
| 2023-08-27 | CA Bizertin | US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
| 2021-03-14 | CA Bizertin | US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 | 0-2 |
| 2020-12-31 | US Monastirienne | CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2020-08-29 | CA Bizertin | US Monastirienne | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2019-12-01 | US Monastirienne | CA Bizertin | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.