ES Zarzis
vs
ES Hammam-Sousse
2 – 0 Full time
| 12′ | ES Hammam-Sousse | ||
| 48′ | M. Jertila | ||
| 49′ | ES Zarzis | ||
| 52′ | ES Zarzis | ||
| 58′ | ES Zarzis | ||
| 69′ | H. Labidi | ||
| 72′ | ES Zarzis |
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse
| Probability | ES Zarzis | Draw | ES Hammam-Sousse |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 61.6% | 27.1% | 11.4% |
| Market | 52.1% | 30.1% | 17.9% |
| Final | 54.4% | 29.3% | 16.2% |
| Edge | +2.4% | -0.8% | -1.6% |
Why ES Zarzis
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.55 vs 0.53.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
- The market prices ES Zarzis below our published probability: +2.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Zarzis and ES Hammam-Sousse expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.08
ES Zarzis and ES Hammam-Sousse attack and defence ratings
ES Zarzis
ES Hammam-Sousse
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse: result vs prediction
ES Zarzis 2 – 0 ES Hammam-Sousse
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Zarzis | 54.4% | 1.84 | +2.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 65.4% | 1.53 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.5% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 38.4% | 2.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Zarzis | 54.4% |
| Draw | 29.3% | |
| ES Hammam-Sousse | 16.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 34.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 65.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.5% |
| No | 66.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Zarzis win | 34.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.4% | |
| Loss | 38.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 18.3% |
| 2-0 | 15.0% | |
| 0-0 | 13.5% |
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse stats
ES Zarzis and ES Hammam-Sousse recent form
| ES Zarzis |
LLLWLW |
| ES Hammam-Sousse |
LLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse head-to-head
Last 7 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-05-29 | ES Zarzis | ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2022-05-18 | ES Hammam-Sousse | ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-22 | ES Hammam-Sousse | ES Zarzis | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2021-03-20 | ES Zarzis | ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 2 | 3-1 |
| 2021-02-14 | ES Hammam-Sousse | ES Zarzis | Ligue 2 | 2-1 |
| 2012-09-26 | ES Hammam-Sousse | ES Zarzis | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2012-04-08 | ES Zarzis | ES Hammam-Sousse | Ligue 1 | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 52.1%, draw 30.1%, away 17.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.69 | 3.05 | 5.32 |
| Bet365 | 1.73 | 3.00 | 4.75 |
| BetVictor | 1.62 | 2.75 | 4.60 |
| Betano | 1.80 | 3.05 | 5.10 |
| Betfair | 1.75 | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.77 | 3.10 | 5.20 |
| Marathonbet | 1.67 | 3.05 | 5.15 |
| Pinnacle | 1.76 | 3.03 | 5.14 |
| William Hill | 1.75 | 2.80 | 5.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .