ES Sahel
vs
CS Hammam-Lif
Garuda Lions Prediction: ES Sahel
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif
| Probability | ES Sahel | Draw | CS Hammam-Lif |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.9% | 32.8% | 16.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.9% | 32.8% | 16.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why ES Sahel
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.57.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif match preview
ES Sahel is set to face CS Hammam-Lif in the Tunisia Ligue 1, with a kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model assigns a 51% probability of victory for ES Sahel, while a draw stands at 33% and CS Hammam-Lif at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of ES Sahel, with a 19% likelihood. Expected goals suggest ES Sahel will generate 1.22, compared to CS Hammam-Lif's 0.57.
In terms of recent form, ES Sahel has recorded one win in their last six matches, alongside two draws and three losses. Conversely, CS Hammam-Lif is struggling with a four-match losing streak. The probabilities indicate a lower chance for over 2.5 goals at 27% and a 32% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Sahel and CS Hammam-Lif expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.79
ES Sahel and CS Hammam-Lif attack and defence ratings
ES Sahel
CS Hammam-Lif
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- ES Tunis vs Olympique Béja
- CA Bizertin v US Monastirienne — match page
- US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain — team news & stats
- Progrès Sakiet Eddaïer vs CS Sfaxien
- ES Metlaoui v Stade Tunisien — match page
- ES Zarzis vs ES Hammam-Sousse — team news & stats
- Jeunesse Sportive Omrane v AS Marsa — match page
Before and after this match
ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Sahel | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 73.3% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.1% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.1% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Sahel | 50.9% |
| Draw | 32.8% | |
| CS Hammam-Lif | 16.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 26.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 73.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.9% |
| No | 68.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Sahel win | 23.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.1% | |
| Loss | 49.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.1% |
| 0-0 | 17.8% | |
| 1-1 | 12.8% |
ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif stats
ES Sahel and CS Hammam-Lif recent form
| ES Sahel |
LDWLLW |
| CS Hammam-Lif |
LLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.