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Tunisia Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif

0 – 1 Full time

5′CS Hammam-Lif
10′C. Fradj
52′CS Hammam-Lif
84′CS Hammam-Lif
85′CS Hammam-Lif
90′CS Hammam-Lif
90′ES Sahel

Stade Olympique de Sousse, Sousse

ES Sahel 61%
Draw 26%
CS Hammam-Lif 13%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif overview

Garuda Lions analysis: ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityES SahelDrawCS Hammam-Lif
Model51.2%32.7%16.1%
Market64.4%23.6%12.0%
Final61.1%25.9%13.0%
Edge-3.3%+2.3%+1.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why ES Sahel

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.22 vs 0.57.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

ES Sahel ↓ / CS Hammam-Lif → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 18% 1 19% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 82%
2+ goals 55%
3+ goals 27%
No goals 18%

ES Sahel and CS Hammam-Lif expected goals

ES Sahel 1.22
CS Hammam-Lif 0.57

Total expected goals: 1.79

ES Sahel and CS Hammam-Lif attack and defence ratings

ES Sahel

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.45 +45%

CS Hammam-Lif

Attack 0.56 -44%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif: result vs prediction

ES Sahel 0 – 1 CS Hammam-Lif

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Tunisia Ligue 1

Before and after this match

ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 ES Sahel 61.1% 1.64 -3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 73.2% 1.37 — —
Both teams to score No 68.2% 1.47 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.0% 1.15 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 48.8% 2.05 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2ES Sahel61.1%
Draw25.9%
CS Hammam-Lif13.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.526.8%
Under 2.573.2%
Both teams to scoreYes31.8%
No68.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.0%
12 (either side)74.1%
X2 (draw or away)38.9%
Handicap -1ES Sahel win24.0%
Push (exactly one goal)27.2%
Loss48.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.2%
0-017.8%
1-112.8%

ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif stats

ES Sahel and CS Hammam-Lif recent form

newest first
ES Sahel LDWLLW
CS Hammam-Lif LLLL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

7ES Sahel wins 1Draws 2CS Hammam-Lif wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2020-09-05CS Hammam-LifES SahelLigue 11-0
2019-12-11ES SahelCS Hammam-LifLigue 14-0
2019-03-07ES SahelCS Hammam-LifLigue 12-1
2018-10-31CS Hammam-LifES SahelLigue 10-1
2017-02-19CS Hammam-LifES SahelCup0-0
2016-02-28ES SahelCS Hammam-LifLigue 12-0
2015-10-28CS Hammam-LifES SahelLigue 10-1
2015-03-08CS Hammam-LifES SahelLigue 12-0
2014-09-14ES SahelCS Hammam-LifLigue 12-0
2014-02-22CS Hammam-LifES SahelLigue 10-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

ES Sahel vs CS Hammam-Lif odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 64.4%, draw 23.6%, away 12.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.39 3.82 7.85
Bet365 1.42 3.75 6.50
BetVictor 1.33 3.40 6.50
Betano 1.45 3.90 7.50
Betfair 1.40 3.70 7.50
Dafabet 1.44 3.95 7.60
Marathonbet 1.38 3.82 7.40
Pinnacle 1.41 3.96 7.74
William Hill 1.40 3.60 7.50

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.