Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
vs
AS Marsa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa
| Probability | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | Draw | AS Marsa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 54.3% | 28.4% | 17.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 54.3% | 28.4% | 17.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.75.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa match preview
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane is set to face AS Marsa in the Tunisia Ligue 1 on October 11, 2026. The model gives Jeunesse Sportive Omrane a 54% chance of winning, while AS Marsa has a 17% probability of victory, with a 28% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Jeunesse Sportive Omrane stand at 1.51, compared to AS Marsa's 0.75, indicating a potential edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Jeunesse Sportive Omrane has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. Conversely, AS Marsa's recent performances show one win, two draws, and three losses. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Jeunesse Sportive Omrane, which aligns with the 39% chance of over 2.5 goals and 42% probability of both teams scoring.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and AS Marsa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and AS Marsa attack and defence ratings
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
AS Marsa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 54.3% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.8% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.9% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 45.7% | 2.19 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | 54.3% |
| Draw | 28.4% | |
| AS Marsa | 17.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.1% |
| No | 57.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 45.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win | 28.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 45.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.7% |
| 1-1 | 13.0% | |
| 2-0 | 11.9% |
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa stats
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and AS Marsa recent form
| Jeunesse Sportive Omrane |
WDWLDL |
| AS Marsa |
WLDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-12 | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | AS Marsa | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2025-11-22 | AS Marsa | Jeunesse Sportive Omrane | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.