Tunisia Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa

0 – 0 Full time

65′Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
67′AS Marsa
81′Jeunesse Sportive Omrane
86′AS Marsa

Stade Chedly Zouiten, Tunis

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 45%
Draw 31%
AS Marsa 25%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityJeunesse Sportive OmraneDrawAS Marsa
Model54.6%28.4%17.1%
Market41.4%31.3%27.3%
Final44.7%30.6%24.8%
Edge+3.3%-0.7%-2.6%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 0.74.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Jeunesse Sportive Omrane below our published probability: +3.3 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Jeunesse Sport ↓ / AS Marsa → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 15% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 67%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and AS Marsa expected goals

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 1.51
AS Marsa 0.74

Total expected goals: 2.25

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and AS Marsa attack and defence ratings

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.19 +19%

AS Marsa

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa: result vs prediction

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 0 – 0 AS Marsa

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Tunisia Ligue 1

Before and after this match

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Jeunesse Sportive Omrane 44.7% 2.24 +3.3% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 60.9% 1.64 — —
Both teams to score No 58.1% 1.72 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 75.2% 1.33 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 45.4% 2.20 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Jeunesse Sportive Omrane44.7%
Draw30.6%
AS Marsa24.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.539.1%
Under 2.560.9%
Both teams to scoreYes41.9%
No58.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)75.2%
12 (either side)69.4%
X2 (draw or away)55.3%
Handicap -1Jeunesse Sportive Omrane win29.1%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss45.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.7%
1-112.9%
2-012.0%

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa stats

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane and AS Marsa recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Jeunesse Sportive Omrane wins 1Draws 1AS Marsa wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-12Jeunesse Sportive OmraneAS MarsaTunisia Ligue 12-2
2025-11-22AS MarsaJeunesse Sportive OmraneTunisia Ligue 12-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Jeunesse Sportive Omrane vs AS Marsa odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 41.4%, draw 31.3%, away 27.3%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.18 2.88 3.32
Bet365 2.15 2.90 3.20
BetVictor 2.05 2.63 3.00
Betano 2.27 2.87 3.40
Betfair 2.15 2.90 3.30
Dafabet 2.26 2.90 3.45
Marathonbet 2.16 2.88 3.22
Pinnacle 2.26 2.84 3.37
William Hill 2.25 2.70 3.30

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 2.18 ▼ -0.03
X 2.88 ▼ -0.01
2 3.30 ▼ -0.10

3 snapshots recorded, from .