US Ben Guerdane
vs
Club Africain
Garuda Lions Prediction: Club Africain
0 – 1 Predicted score · 18% model probability
US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain
| Probability | US Ben Guerdane | Draw | Club Africain |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.4% | 36.7% | 41.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.4% | 36.7% | 41.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Club Africain
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.99 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain match preview
In the upcoming match between US Ben Guerdane and Club Africain, the probabilities suggest a competitive encounter, with Club Africain holding a slight edge at 42%, while US Ben Guerdane stands at 21% and a draw at 37%. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, with an 18% chance of occurring. Both teams have shown varying recent form, with US Ben Guerdane recording one win in their last six matches, while Club Africain has been more consistent, securing four wins in their last six outings.
Statistically, US Ben Guerdane is expected to score 0.63 goals, whereas Club Africain is projected to net 0.99 goals. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals in the match is relatively low at 22%, and both teams to score sits at 31%. Historically, in their last two encounters, US Ben Guerdane has not managed a win against Club Africain, who has claimed victory in both matches.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
US Ben Guerdane and Club Africain expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.62
US Ben Guerdane and Club Africain attack and defence ratings
US Ben Guerdane
Club Africain
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Club Africain | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.8% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.6% | 1.27 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Ben Guerdane | 21.4% |
| Draw | 36.7% | |
| Club Africain | 41.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.6% |
| No | 69.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 58.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 63.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Club Africain win | 16.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 58.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 21.0% |
| 0-1 | 18.4% | |
| 1-1 | 13.6% |
US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain stats
US Ben Guerdane and Club Africain recent form
| US Ben Guerdane |
WDDWLD |
| Club Africain |
WDWWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | US Ben Guerdane | Club Africain | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2025-09-28 | Club Africain | US Ben Guerdane | Tunisia Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2025-01-26 | Club Africain | US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 | 0-0 |
| 2024-08-31 | US Ben Guerdane | Club Africain | Ligue 1 | 2-2 |
| 2024-04-21 | US Ben Guerdane | Club Africain | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2023-10-29 | Club Africain | US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 | 2-0 |
| 2023-08-19 | US Ben Guerdane | Club Africain | Ligue 1 | 0-1 |
| 2023-06-30 | Club Africain | US Ben Guerdane | Ligue 1 | 2-1 |
| 2023-05-21 | US Ben Guerdane | Club Africain | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
| 2023-02-02 | US Ben Guerdane | Club Africain | Ligue 1 | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.