Tunisia Ligue 1 · Full time ·Matchday 5

US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain

2 – 1 Full time

18′D. Oboh
24′O. Elsharimi
38′US Ben Guerdane
41′Club Africain
58′US Ben Guerdane
82′US Ben Guerdane
90′US Ben Guerdane
90′W. Salhi
90′US Ben Guerdane

7 March Stadium, Ben Guerdane

US Ben Guerdane 18%
Draw 34%
Club Africain 48%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain overview

Garuda Lions analysis: US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityUS Ben GuerdaneDrawClub Africain
Model21.4%36.7%41.9%
Market16.7%33.7%49.6%
Final17.9%34.4%47.7%
Edge+1.2%+0.7%-1.9%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Club Africain

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 0.99 vs 0.63.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

US Ben Guerdan ↓ / Club Africain → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 21% 18% 1 11% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 79%
2+ goals 49%
3+ goals 22%
No goals 21%

US Ben Guerdane and Club Africain expected goals

US Ben Guerdane 0.63
Club Africain 0.99

Total expected goals: 1.62

US Ben Guerdane and Club Africain attack and defence ratings

US Ben Guerdane

Attack 1.09 +9%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Club Africain

Attack 1.45 +45%
Defence 0.55 -45%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain: result vs prediction

US Ben Guerdane 2 – 1 Club Africain

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✗ Incorrect
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 5 fixtures

Tunisia Ligue 1

Before and after this match

US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Club Africain 47.7% 2.10 -1.9% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 77.8% 1.28 — —
Both teams to score No 69.4% 1.44 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 82.1% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2US Ben Guerdane17.9%
Draw34.4%
Club Africain47.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.522.2%
Under 2.577.8%
Both teams to scoreYes30.6%
No69.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)52.3%
12 (either side)65.6%
X2 (draw or away)82.1%
Handicap -1Club Africain win16.8%
Push (exactly one goal)25.2%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)0-021.0%
0-118.4%
1-113.6%

US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain stats

US Ben Guerdane and Club Africain recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0US Ben Guerdane wins 5Draws 5Club Africain wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-08US Ben GuerdaneClub AfricainTunisia Ligue 10-1
2025-09-28Club AfricainUS Ben GuerdaneTunisia Ligue 12-0
2025-01-26Club AfricainUS Ben GuerdaneLigue 10-0
2024-08-31US Ben GuerdaneClub AfricainLigue 12-2
2024-04-21US Ben GuerdaneClub AfricainCup1-1
2023-10-29Club AfricainUS Ben GuerdaneLigue 12-0
2023-08-19US Ben GuerdaneClub AfricainLigue 10-1
2023-06-30Club AfricainUS Ben GuerdaneLigue 12-1
2023-05-21US Ben GuerdaneClub AfricainLigue 11-1
2023-02-02US Ben GuerdaneClub AfricainLigue 11-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

US Ben Guerdane vs Club Africain odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 16.7%, draw 33.7%, away 49.6%.

Bookmaker1X2
Bet365 4.50 2.88 1.90
Betano 6.20 2.72 1.82
Betfair 4.75 2.63 1.91
Dafabet 6.60 2.70 1.80
Marathonbet 4.45 2.88 1.82
Pinnacle 6.65 2.48 1.86

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.