ES Tunis
vs
Asswehly
1 – 0 Full time
| 8′ | I. Faraj | ||
| 120′ | ES Tunis | ||
| 120′ | Asswehly | ||
| 120′ | ES Tunis | ||
| 120′ | ES Tunis |
ES Tunis vs Asswehly overview
Garuda Lions analysis: ES Tunis vs Asswehly
| Probability | ES Tunis | Draw | Asswehly |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 31.5% | 35.5% | 33.0% |
| Market | 76.7% | 16.3% | 7.0% |
| Final | 65.4% | 21.1% | 13.5% |
| Edge | -11.3% | +4.8% | +6.5% |
Why ES Tunis
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
ES Tunis and Asswehly expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.81
ES Tunis and Asswehly attack and defence ratings
ES Tunis
Asswehly
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
ES Tunis vs Asswehly: result vs prediction
ES Tunis 1 – 0 Asswehly
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
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- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
ES Tunis vs Asswehly markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Tunis | 65.4% | 1.53 | -11.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% | 1.16 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 68.5% | 1.46 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | ES Tunis | 65.4% |
| Draw | 21.1% | |
| Asswehly | 13.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 36.7% |
| No | 63.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | ES Tunis win | 11.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 68.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 17.8% |
| 1-1 | 14.7% | |
| 0-1 | 13.7% |
ES Tunis vs Asswehly stats
ES Tunis vs Asswehly head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-18 | Asswehly | ES Tunis | CAF Champions League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
ES Tunis vs Asswehly odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 76.7%, draw 16.3%, away 7.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.18 | 5.55 | 12.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 6.25 | 17.00 |
| Betfair | 1.18 | 5.50 | 13.00 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
9 snapshots recorded, from .