CAF Confederation Cup · Full time ·2nd Preliminary Round

Singida Black Stars vs Tusker

1 – 1 Full time

67′Singida Black Stars
81′Tusker

Airtel Stadium, Singida

Singida Black Stars 52%
Draw 28%
Tusker 20%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Singida Black Stars vs Tusker overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Singida Black Stars vs Tusker

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySingida Black StarsDrawTusker
Model59.7%26.0%14.3%
Market48.9%28.6%22.5%
Final51.6%28.0%20.4%
Edge+2.7%-0.7%-2.0%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Singida Black Stars

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.67 vs 0.71.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
  • The market prices Singida Black Stars below our published probability: +2.7 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Singida Black ↓ / Tusker → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 14% 12% 2 13% 9% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 70%
3+ goals 43%
No goals 10%

Singida Black Stars and Tusker expected goals

Singida Black Stars 1.67
Tusker 0.71

Total expected goals: 2.38

Singida Black Stars and Tusker attack and defence ratings

Singida Black Stars

Attack 1.60 +60%
Defence 0.96 -4%

Tusker

Attack 0.76 -24%
Defence 0.74 -26%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Singida Black Stars vs Tusker: result vs prediction

Singida Black Stars 1 – 1 Tusker

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✗ Incorrect
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures

CAF Confederation Cup

Before and after this match

Singida Black Stars vs Tusker markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Singida Black Stars 51.6% 1.94 +2.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.4% 1.74 — —
Both teams to score No 57.7% 1.73 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 79.6% 1.26 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 40.5% 2.47 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Singida Black Stars51.6%
Draw28.0%
Tusker20.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.6%
Under 2.557.4%
Both teams to scoreYes42.3%
No57.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)79.6%
12 (either side)72.0%
X2 (draw or away)48.4%
Handicap -1Singida Black Stars win34.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.5%
Loss40.5%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.4%
2-013.0%
1-112.0%

Singida Black Stars vs Tusker stats

Singida Black Stars and Tusker recent form

newest first
Singida Black Stars WLDWLW
Tusker LWWDDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Singida Black Stars vs Tusker head-to-head

Last 1 meetings

1Singida Black Stars wins 0Draws 0Tusker wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-10-18TuskerSingida Black StarsCAF Confederation Cup0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Singida Black Stars vs Tusker odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 48.9%, draw 28.6%, away 22.5%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 1.82 3.14 4.16
Bet365 1.83 3.10 4.00
BetVictor 1.73 2.80 3.75
Betano 1.87 3.15 3.95
Betfair 1.85 3.30 3.90
Dafabet 1.90 3.25 4.20
Marathonbet 1.80 3.14 4.05
William Hill 1.85 3.00 4.00

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 1.84 ▲ +0.39
X 3.14 ▼ -0.59
2 4.00 ▼ -2.59

11 snapshots recorded, from .