Tanzania Premier League · ·Matchday 10

Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars

Garuda Lions Prediction: Singida Black Stars

1 – 2 Predicted score · 9% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.45.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Pamba Jiji 27%
Draw 23%
Singida Black Stars 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Singida Black Stars wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
67%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
9% of simulated outcomes

Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityPamba JijiDrawSingida Black Stars
Model26.5%23.2%50.2%
Market———
Final26.5%23.2%50.2%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Singida Black Stars

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.04 vs 1.45.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars match preview

Pamba Jiji faces Singida Black Stars in the Tanzania Premier League, with kickoff set for October 29, 2026. According to our model, Pamba Jiji has a 26% chance of winning, while Singida Black Stars is favored at 51%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-2, with expected goals of 1.48 for Pamba Jiji and 2.08 for Singida Black Stars. Recent form shows Pamba Jiji struggling with a series of draws and losses, while Singida Black Stars has displayed more resilience, winning two of their last three matches.

The probabilities indicate a high likelihood of goals, with 69% for over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score. In their last two encounters, Pamba Jiji has not secured a victory, recording one draw and one loss against Singida Black Stars. With a confidence grade of C, the match promises to be competitive.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Pamba Jiji ↓ / Singida Black → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 10% 9% 6% 5% 2 7% 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 87%
3+ goals 68%
No goals 4%

Pamba Jiji and Singida Black Stars expected goals

Pamba Jiji 1.45
Singida Black Stars 2.04

Total expected goals: 3.49

Pamba Jiji and Singida Black Stars attack and defence ratings

Pamba Jiji

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 1.34 +34%

Singida Black Stars

Attack 1.67 +67%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Tanzania Premier League

Before and after this match

Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Singida Black Stars 50.2% 1.99 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 67.7% 1.48 — —
Both teams to score Yes 67.5% 1.48 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 76.8% 1.30 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.8% 2.01 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Pamba Jiji26.5%
Draw23.2%
Singida Black Stars50.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.567.7%
Under 2.532.3%
Both teams to scoreYes67.5%
No32.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)49.8%
12 (either side)76.8%
X2 (draw or away)73.5%
Handicap -1Singida Black Stars win29.9%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss49.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-19.9%
1-29.2%
2-26.7%

Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars stats

Pamba Jiji and Singida Black Stars recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Pamba Jiji and Singida Black Stars season so far

league record

Pamba Jiji record

  • They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.

Singida Black Stars record

  • They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Pamba Jiji wins 1Draws 1Singida Black Stars wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-05Singida Black StarsPamba JijiTanzania Premier League3-1
2025-11-08Pamba JijiSingida Black StarsTanzania Premier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Pamba Jiji vs Singida Black Stars odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Singida Black Stars Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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