Young Africans
vs
Mashujaa
Garuda Lions Prediction: Young Africans
3 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.51 vs 0.54.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Young Africans vs Mashujaa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Young Africans vs Mashujaa
| Probability | Young Africans | Draw | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 90.0% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 90.0% | 7.7% | 2.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Young Africans
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.51 vs 0.54.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Young Africans vs Mashujaa match preview
Young Africans are heavily favored in their upcoming match against Mashujaa, with a probability of 89% for a victory according to our model. The expected goals for Young Africans stand at 3.25, while Mashujaa is projected to score only 0.50. Recent form shows Young Africans with a record of W-L-W-W-D-W, indicating a strong performance trend, whereas Mashujaa has struggled, recording L-W-W-L-W-L.
In terms of scoring, the most likely outcome is a 3-0 win for Young Africans, which has a probability of 14%. Additionally, there is a 72% chance of over 2.5 goals in the match, while both teams scoring is less likely at 38%. The head-to-head record favors Young Africans, who have won both of their last encounters against Mashujaa.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Young Africans and Mashujaa expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.05
Young Africans and Mashujaa attack and defence ratings
Young Africans
Mashujaa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Young Africans vs Mashujaa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Africans | 90.0% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.3% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 97.6% | 1.02 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Young Africans win | 76.2% | 1.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Africans | 90.0% |
| Draw | 7.7% | |
| Mashujaa | 2.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 76.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 23.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.7% |
| No | 59.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 97.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 92.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 10.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Young Africans win | 76.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 13.8% | |
| Loss | 10.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 3-0 | 12.6% |
| 4-0 | 11.0% | |
| 2-0 | 10.8% |
Young Africans vs Mashujaa stats
Young Africans and Mashujaa recent form
| Young Africans |
WWLWWD |
| Mashujaa |
LWWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Young Africans and Mashujaa season so far
Young Africans record
- They have won 6 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Mashujaa record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Young Africans vs Mashujaa head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-13 | Mashujaa | Young Africans | Tanzania Premier League | 0-2 |
| 2026-01-19 | Young Africans | Mashujaa | Tanzania Premier League | 6-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.