Mashujaa
vs
Pamba Jiji
Garuda Lions Prediction: Mashujaa
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.20.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji
| Probability | Mashujaa | Draw | Pamba Jiji |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.4% | 27.1% | 27.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.4% | 27.1% | 27.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Mashujaa
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.60 vs 1.20.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji match preview
Mashujaa faces Pamba Jiji in the Tanzania Premier League, with the model giving Mashujaa a 45% chance of winning, while Pamba Jiji has a 29% probability. The expected goals for Mashujaa stand at 1.69, compared to Pamba Jiji's 1.31, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline is 2-1 in favor of Mashujaa, with a 9% likelihood.
Recent form indicates Mashujaa has had mixed results, with their last six matches resulting in two wins and four losses. In contrast, Pamba Jiji has drawn twice and lost four of their last six matches. Historically, in their last two encounters, Mashujaa has yet to secure a win, with one draw and one loss against Pamba Jiji. The model predicts a 57% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 60% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Mashujaa and Pamba Jiji expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.80
Mashujaa and Pamba Jiji attack and defence ratings
Mashujaa
Pamba Jiji
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mashujaa | 45.4% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 72.9% | 1.37 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.6% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Mashujaa | 45.4% |
| Draw | 27.1% | |
| Pamba Jiji | 27.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.9% |
| No | 43.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Mashujaa win | 24.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.4% | |
| Loss | 54.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.9% |
| 2-1 | 9.3% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji stats
Mashujaa and Pamba Jiji recent form
| Mashujaa |
LLWWLW |
| Pamba Jiji |
LDDWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Mashujaa and Pamba Jiji season so far
Mashujaa record
- They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Pamba Jiji record
- They have won 1 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- 36% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Mashujaa vs Pamba Jiji head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-04 | Mashujaa | Pamba Jiji | Tanzania Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-17 | Pamba Jiji | Mashujaa | Tanzania Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.