Tanzania Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 11

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji

Garuda Lions Prediction: Coastal Union

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 14% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga

Coastal Union 38%
Draw 34%
Dodoma Jiji 29%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Coastal Union wins
38%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
85%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
40%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
14% of simulated outcomes

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCoastal UnionDrawDodoma Jiji
Model37.7%33.7%28.5%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final37.7%33.7%28.5%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji match preview

Coastal Union faces Dodoma Jiji in the Tanzania Premier League with a slight edge according to our model, which gives Coastal Union a 38% chance of winning, compared to 29% for Dodoma Jiji and 34% for a draw. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Coastal Union, with a probability of 14%. Expected goals suggest Coastal Union may score 1.07 while Dodoma Jiji is projected at 0.89.

Recent form shows Coastal Union with a mixed record of L-W-L-W-W-L, while Dodoma Jiji has been more consistent with W-D-W-W-W-L. In their last two encounters, both teams have won once, indicating a competitive matchup. The model indicates a 31% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 40% probability that both teams will score.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coastal Union ↓ / Dodoma Jiji β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 11% 1 14% 15% 2 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 60%
3+ goals 31%
No goals 15%

Coastal Union and Dodoma Jiji expected goals

Coastal Union 1.07
Dodoma Jiji 0.89

Total expected goals: 1.96

Coastal Union and Dodoma Jiji attack and defence ratings

Coastal Union

Attack 0.93 -7%
Defence 1.12 +12%

Dodoma Jiji

Attack 0.88 -12%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Tanzania Premier League

Before and after this match

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Coastal Union 37.7% 2.65 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 68.8% 1.45 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 59.9% 1.67 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.5% 1.40 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 62.3% 1.61 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coastal Union37.7%
Draw33.7%
Dodoma Jiji28.5%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.531.2%
Under 2.568.8%
Both teams to scoreYes40.1%
No59.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.5%
12 (either side)66.3%
X2 (draw or away)62.3%
Handicap -1Coastal Union win15.6%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss62.3%
Correct score (top 3)0-015.4%
1-114.8%
1-013.7%

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji stats

Coastal Union and Dodoma Jiji recent form

newest first
Coastal Union LWLWWL
Dodoma Jiji WDWWWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coastal Union and Dodoma Jiji season so far

league record

Coastal Union record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Dodoma Jiji record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Coastal Union wins 0Draws 1Dodoma Jiji wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-15Coastal UnionDodoma JijiTanzania Premier League3-1
2025-09-27Dodoma JijiCoastal UnionTanzania Premier League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coastal Union vs Dodoma Jiji odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Coastal Union Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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