Tabora United
vs
Fountain Gate
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tabora United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 21% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.50.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Tabora United vs Fountain Gate overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tabora United vs Fountain Gate
| Probability | Tabora United | Draw | Fountain Gate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 34.7% | 15.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.1% | 34.7% | 15.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tabora United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.12 vs 0.50.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Tabora United vs Fountain Gate match preview
Tabora United hosts Fountain Gate in the Tanzania Premier League with a predicted probability of 50% for a home win, 33% for a draw, and 16% for an away victory. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.18 for Tabora United and 0.55 for Fountain Gate. Recent form shows Tabora United with a mixed record of D-L-W-D-L-D, while Fountain Gate struggles with D-L-D-L-L-L.
In their last two encounters, the teams are evenly matched with one win each. The model indicates a low likelihood of over 2.5 goals at 25% and a 31% chance that both teams will score. This matchup presents a competitive scenario, with Tabora United slightly favored based on recent performances and statistical expectations.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tabora United and Fountain Gate expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.62
Tabora United and Fountain Gate attack and defence ratings
Tabora United
Fountain Gate
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tabora United vs Fountain Gate markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tabora United | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 77.9% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.6% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% | 1.18 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tabora United | 50.1% |
| Draw | 34.7% | |
| Fountain Gate | 15.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 22.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 77.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.4% |
| No | 72.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 65.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tabora United win | 22.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.9% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.2% |
| 0-0 | 21.0% | |
| 2-0 | 12.5% |
Tabora United vs Fountain Gate stats
Tabora United and Fountain Gate recent form
| Tabora United |
DDLWDL |
| Fountain Gate |
LDDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tabora United and Fountain Gate season so far
Tabora United record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.0 at home.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Fountain Gate record
- They have won 1 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 8 matches.
Tabora United vs Fountain Gate head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Tabora United | Fountain Gate | Tanzania Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2026-02-26 | Fountain Gate | Tabora United | Tanzania Premier League | 1-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.