Tabora United
vs
Geita Gold
Garuda Lions Prediction: Tabora United
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.73.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Tabora United vs Geita Gold overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Tabora United vs Geita Gold
| Probability | Tabora United | Draw | Geita Gold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.5% | 27.4% | 16.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 56.5% | 27.4% | 16.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Tabora United
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.73.
Tabora United vs Geita Gold match preview
Tabora United hosts Geita Gold in the Tanzania Premier League on October 29, 2026. According to our model, Tabora United has a 57% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 27% and Geita Gold at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Tabora United, with a 15% likelihood. Expected goals are 1.58 for Tabora United compared to 0.73 for Geita Gold.
In terms of recent form, Tabora United has recorded one win, two draws, and three losses in their last six matches. Geita Gold, on the other hand, has struggled with four losses and one draw, but managed one win in their recent outings. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals are at 41%, while both teams to score is at 42%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Tabora United and Geita Gold expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Tabora United and Geita Gold attack and defence ratings
Tabora United
Geita Gold
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Tabora United vs Geita Gold markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tabora United | 56.5% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.4% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.5% | 2.30 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Tabora United | 56.5% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Geita Gold | 16.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Tabora United win | 31.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 43.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.5% |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 12.4% |
Tabora United vs Geita Gold stats
Tabora United and Geita Gold recent form
| Tabora United |
LWDLDL |
| Geita Gold |
LLLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Tabora United and Geita Gold season so far
Tabora United record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Geita Gold record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.