Geita Gold
vs
Fountain Gate
Garuda Lions Prediction: Geita Gold
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.03.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate
| Probability | Geita Gold | Draw | Fountain Gate |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.9% | 28.3% | 24.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 46.9% | 28.3% | 24.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Geita Gold
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.51 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 1 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.
Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate match preview
Geita Gold enters this match with a probability of 47% to win against Fountain Gate, who has a 25% chance of securing a victory. The model suggests a likely scoreline of 1-0 in favor of Geita Gold, with this outcome having an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 51% chance that both teams will score, while the expectation for total goals over 2.5 stands at 47%.
In terms of recent form, Geita Gold has struggled with four consecutive losses followed by a draw and a win, while Fountain Gate has not fared much better, managing only one draw in their last six matches. The expected goals for Geita Gold are 1.51, compared to Fountain Gate's 1.03, indicating a slight advantage for the home side in offensive potential.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Geita Gold and Fountain Gate expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.54
Geita Gold and Fountain Gate attack and defence ratings
Geita Gold
Fountain Gate
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Geita Gold | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% | 1.94 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Geita Gold | 46.9% |
| Draw | 28.3% | |
| Fountain Gate | 24.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 51.4% |
| No | 48.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 53.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Geita Gold win | 24.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 53.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 1-0 | 10.6% | |
| 2-1 | 9.3% |
Geita Gold vs Fountain Gate stats
Geita Gold and Fountain Gate recent form
| Geita Gold |
LLLLDW |
| Fountain Gate |
DLDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Geita Gold and Fountain Gate season so far
Geita Gold record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Fountain Gate record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.