Namungo
vs
Coastal Union
Garuda Lions Prediction: Namungo
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Namungo vs Coastal Union overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Namungo vs Coastal Union
| Probability | Namungo | Draw | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 42.9% | 31.5% | 25.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 42.9% | 31.5% | 25.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Namungo
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.25 vs 0.91.
Namungo vs Coastal Union match preview
Namungo faces Coastal Union in the Tanzania Premier League with a predicted win probability of 43% for Namungo, 31% for a draw, and 26% for Coastal Union. The expected goals for the match are 1.25 for Namungo and 0.91 for Coastal Union, suggesting a competitive fixture. The most likely scoreline according to our model is 1-0 in favor of Namungo, with a 13% probability.
In terms of recent form, Namungo has recorded a mixed set of results with two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Coastal Union has performed slightly better with three wins, two losses, and one draw. Historically, in their last two encounters, Namungo has one win and one draw against Coastal Union, who have yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Namungo and Coastal Union expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.16
Namungo and Coastal Union attack and defence ratings
Namungo
Coastal Union
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
Namungo vs Coastal Union markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Namungo | 42.9% | 2.33 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.3% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.1% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 57.1% | 1.75 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Namungo | 42.9% |
| Draw | 31.5% | |
| Coastal Union | 25.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.9% |
| No | 56.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 57.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Namungo win | 19.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.0% | |
| Loss | 57.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 13.1% | |
| 0-0 | 12.8% |
Namungo vs Coastal Union stats
Namungo and Coastal Union recent form
| Namungo |
WLLLLW |
| Coastal Union |
WLWWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Namungo and Coastal Union season so far
Namungo record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Coastal Union record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Namungo vs Coastal Union head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-12 | Coastal Union | Namungo | Tanzania Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-23 | Namungo | Coastal Union | Tanzania Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-02-23 | Namungo | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-17 | Coastal Union | Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-2 |
| 2024-04-17 | Namungo | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-0 |
| 2023-11-01 | Coastal Union | Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-0 |
| 2023-01-01 | Coastal Union | Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-1 |
| 2022-09-17 | Namungo | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-0 |
| 2022-06-20 | Namungo | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-1 |
| 2022-01-23 | Coastal Union | Namungo | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.