JKT Tanzania
vs
Kagera Sugar
Garuda Lions Prediction: JKT Tanzania
2 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar
| Probability | JKT Tanzania | Draw | Kagera Sugar |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 57.0% | 22.5% | 20.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 57.0% | 22.5% | 20.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why JKT Tanzania
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.11 vs 1.21.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar match preview
JKT Tanzania faces Kagera Sugar in the Tanzania Premier League, with a kickoff scheduled for October 24, 2026. According to our model, JKT Tanzania has a 57% probability of winning, while Kagera Sugar has a 20% chance, and a draw stands at 23%. The expected goals for JKT Tanzania is 2.11, compared to Kagera Sugar's 1.21, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1, with a 10% probability.
Recent form shows JKT Tanzania with mixed results, recording two wins and four losses in their last six matches. Kagera Sugar has struggled, with only one win in their last six games, along with three losses and two draws. The model indicates a 65% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 63% chance for both teams to score, highlighting potential offensive action.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
JKT Tanzania and Kagera Sugar expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.33
JKT Tanzania and Kagera Sugar attack and defence ratings
JKT Tanzania
Kagera Sugar
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 9 fixtures
Before and after this match
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JKT Tanzania | 57.0% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% | 1.26 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.0% | 2.33 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JKT Tanzania | 57.0% |
| Draw | 22.5% | |
| Kagera Sugar | 20.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 62.7% |
| No | 37.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 79.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | JKT Tanzania win | 35.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.6% | |
| Loss | 43.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 10.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.0% |
JKT Tanzania vs Kagera Sugar stats
JKT Tanzania and Kagera Sugar recent form
| JKT Tanzania |
WLWWLL |
| Kagera Sugar |
WDLLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
JKT Tanzania and Kagera Sugar season so far
JKT Tanzania record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Kagera Sugar record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game on the road against 0.5 at home.