JKT Tanzania
vs
Mbeya City
Garuda Lions Prediction: JKT Tanzania
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City
| Probability | JKT Tanzania | Draw | Mbeya City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.7% | 31.0% | 27.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.7% | 31.0% | 27.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City match preview
JKT Tanzania faces Mbeya City in the Tanzania Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, JKT Tanzania has a 42% probability of winning, while the chances for a draw stand at 31% and Mbeya City at 27%. The expected goals for JKT Tanzania are 1.27, compared to Mbeya City's 0.98, suggesting a competitive match. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of JKT Tanzania.
In terms of recent form, JKT Tanzania has recorded a mixed performance with two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Mbeya City has shown improvement, with three wins, two losses, and one draw in the same period. Historically, JKT Tanzania has the upper hand in their last two encounters, winning once and drawing once against Mbeya City, who has yet to secure a victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
JKT Tanzania and Mbeya City expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.25
JKT Tanzania and Mbeya City attack and defence ratings
JKT Tanzania
Mbeya City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JKT Tanzania | 41.7% | 2.40 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.9% | 1.64 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% | 1.38 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JKT Tanzania | 41.7% |
| Draw | 31.0% | |
| Mbeya City | 27.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.2% |
| No | 53.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | JKT Tanzania win | 19.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 58.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 1-0 | 12.1% | |
| 0-0 | 11.8% |
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City stats
JKT Tanzania and Mbeya City recent form
| JKT Tanzania |
WLWWLL |
| Mbeya City |
LLDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
JKT Tanzania and Mbeya City season so far
JKT Tanzania record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Mbeya City record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
JKT Tanzania vs Mbeya City head-to-head
Last 5 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-09 | JKT Tanzania | Mbeya City | Tanzania Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-10-24 | Mbeya City | JKT Tanzania | Tanzania Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2021-04-28 | Mbeya City | JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara | 6-1 |
| 2020-11-24 | JKT Tanzania | Mbeya City | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-1 |
| 2020-06-27 | Mbeya City | JKT Tanzania | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.