Geita Gold
vs
Dodoma Jiji
Garuda Lions Prediction: Geita Gold
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji
| Probability | Geita Gold | Draw | Dodoma Jiji |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.8% | 31.3% | 23.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.8% | 31.3% | 23.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Geita Gold
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.92.
Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji match preview
Geita Gold faces Dodoma Jiji in the Tanzania Premier League, with Geita Gold having a 45% probability of winning, compared to Dodoma Jiji's 24%. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 1-0, occurring with a 14% likelihood. Geita Gold's expected goals stand at 1.28, while Dodoma Jiji's are at 0.87, indicating a potential edge for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Geita Gold has struggled with three losses in their last five matches, alongside one draw and one win. Conversely, Dodoma Jiji has shown stronger form, winning three of their last five games, with one loss and one draw. The model suggests a 36% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 43% probability that both teams will score in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Geita Gold and Dodoma Jiji expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.22
Geita Gold and Dodoma Jiji attack and defence ratings
Geita Gold
Dodoma Jiji
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Geita Gold | 44.8% | 2.23 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 63.7% | 1.57 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.2% | 1.78 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Geita Gold | 44.8% |
| Draw | 31.3% | |
| Dodoma Jiji | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 63.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.1% |
| No | 56.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 55.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Geita Gold win | 20.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.1% | |
| Loss | 56.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.3% |
| 1-0 | 13.7% | |
| 0-0 | 13.0% |
Geita Gold vs Dodoma Jiji stats
Geita Gold and Dodoma Jiji recent form
| Geita Gold |
LLLDWL |
| Dodoma Jiji |
DWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Geita Gold and Dodoma Jiji season so far
Geita Gold record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
Dodoma Jiji record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.