Coastal Union
vs
Singida Black Stars
1 – 0 Full time
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars
| Probability | Coastal Union | Draw | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.7% | 22.4% | 52.9% |
| Market | 34.7% | 26.3% | 39.1% |
| Final | 32.2% | 25.3% | 42.5% |
| Edge | -2.5% | -1.0% | +3.4% |
Why Singida Black Stars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.44.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices Singida Black Stars below our published probability: +3.4 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.59
Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars attack and defence ratings
Coastal Union
Singida Black Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars: result vs prediction
Coastal Union 1 – 0 Singida Black Stars
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Singida Black Stars | 42.5% | 2.35 | +3.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 74.7% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.1% | 2.12 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Coastal Union | 32.2% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Singida Black Stars | 42.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 69.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 30.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.3% |
| No | 31.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 57.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 67.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Singida Black Stars win | 32.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 47.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.6% |
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars stats
Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars recent form
| Coastal Union |
LWWLDL |
| Singida Black Stars |
DWLWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars going into this match
Coastal Union record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Singida Black Stars record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-02 | Coastal Union | Singida Black Stars | Tanzania Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2026-03-02 | Singida Black Stars | Coastal Union | Tanzania Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-10 | Coastal Union | Singida Black Stars | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-02 | Singida Black Stars | Coastal Union | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.7%, draw 26.3%, away 39.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.57 | 3.39 | 2.28 |