Tanzania Premier League · ·Matchday 8

Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars

Garuda Lions Prediction: Singida Black Stars

1 – 2 Predicted score · 8% model probability

Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga

Coastal Union 28%
Draw 22%
Singida Black Stars 50%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Singida Black Stars wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
96%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
73%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 2
8% of simulated outcomes

Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCoastal UnionDrawSingida Black Stars
Model28.4%22.0%49.6%
Market———
Final28.4%22.0%49.6%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Singida Black Stars

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.15 vs 1.44.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars match preview

In the upcoming Tanzania Premier League match, Coastal Union faces Singida Black Stars. The model indicates a 28% probability of a Coastal Union victory, while Singida Black Stars holds a 50% chance of winning, with a 22% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals suggest Coastal Union will score approximately 1.66 goals, compared to Singida Black Stars' 2.20.

Recent form shows Coastal Union with two wins, one draw, and three losses in their last six matches, while Singida Black Stars has achieved four wins and two losses. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-2 in favor of Singida Black Stars, with a high likelihood of over 2.5 goals (74%) and both teams scoring (73%). The confidence grade for these probabilities is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coastal Union ↓ / Singida Black → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 5% 6% 1 9% 9% 7% 6% 2 6% 7% 5% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 96%
2+ goals 88%
3+ goals 70%
No goals 4%

Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars expected goals

Coastal Union 1.44
Singida Black Stars 2.15

Total expected goals: 3.59

Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars attack and defence ratings

Coastal Union

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 1.17 +17%

Singida Black Stars

Attack 2.04 +104%
Defence 1.13 +13%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Tanzania Premier League

Before and after this match

Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Singida Black Stars 49.6% 2.02 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 73.8% 1.35 — —
Both teams to score Yes 72.6% 1.38 — —
Double chance 12 (either side) 78.0% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 47.1% 2.12 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coastal Union28.4%
Draw22.0%
Singida Black Stars49.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.573.8%
Under 2.526.2%
Both teams to scoreYes72.6%
No27.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.4%
12 (either side)78.0%
X2 (draw or away)71.6%
Handicap -1Singida Black Stars win32.5%
Push (exactly one goal)20.4%
Loss47.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-18.5%
1-28.5%
2-27.0%

Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars stats

Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coastal Union and Singida Black Stars season so far

league record

Coastal Union record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Singida Black Stars record

  • They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.

Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Coastal Union wins 0Draws 1Singida Black Stars wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-02Coastal UnionSingida Black StarsTanzania Premier League2-1
2026-03-02Singida Black StarsCoastal UnionTanzania Premier League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coastal Union vs Singida Black Stars odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Singida Black Stars Predicted score 1 – 2 Low Bet Now
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