Tanzania Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 7

Coastal Union vs Azam

0 – 2 Full time

Mkwakwani Stadium, Tanga

Coastal Union 29%
Draw 29%
Azam 42%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Coastal Union vs Azam overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Coastal Union vs Azam

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityCoastal UnionDrawAzam
Model28.7%29.5%41.8%
Market———
Final28.7%29.5%41.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Azam

  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Coastal Union ↓ / Azam → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 10% 8% 1 8% 14% 9% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 72%
3+ goals 45%
No goals 10%

Coastal Union and Azam expected goals

Coastal Union 1.09
Azam 1.37

Total expected goals: 2.46

Coastal Union and Azam attack and defence ratings

Coastal Union

Attack 1.03 +3%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Azam

Attack 1.33 +33%
Defence 0.79 -21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Coastal Union vs Azam: result vs prediction

Coastal Union 0 – 2 Azam

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Matchday 7 fixtures

Tanzania Premier League

Before and after this match

Coastal Union vs Azam markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Azam 41.8% 2.39 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 55.4% 1.81 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.9% 1.97 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 71.3% 1.40 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 58.1% 1.72 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Coastal Union28.7%
Draw29.5%
Azam41.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.544.6%
Under 2.555.4%
Both teams to scoreYes50.9%
No49.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)58.2%
12 (either side)70.5%
X2 (draw or away)71.3%
Handicap -1Azam win20.3%
Push (exactly one goal)21.6%
Loss58.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.0%
0-110.4%
0-09.8%

Coastal Union vs Azam stats

Coastal Union and Azam recent form

newest first
Coastal Union WWLDLL
Azam LWWDWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Coastal Union and Azam going into this match

league record before kick-off

Coastal Union record

  • They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.

Azam record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
  • They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
  • 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Coastal Union vs Azam head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

0Coastal Union wins 4Draws 6Azam wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-06-27Coastal UnionAzamTanzania Premier League0-2
2026-01-17AzamCoastal UnionTanzania Premier League3-0
2025-02-19Coastal UnionAzamLigi kuu Bara0-0
2024-09-22AzamCoastal UnionLigi kuu Bara1-0
2024-03-06AzamCoastal UnionLigi kuu Bara1-1
2023-10-06Coastal UnionAzamLigi kuu Bara0-1
2023-06-06Coastal UnionAzamLigi kuu Bara0-2
2022-11-27AzamCoastal UnionLigi kuu Bara3-2
2022-03-01AzamCoastal UnionLigi kuu Bara0-0
2021-09-27Coastal UnionAzamLigi kuu Bara1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Coastal Union vs Azam odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.