Simba
vs
Young Africans
Garuda Lions Prediction: Simba
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Simba vs Young Africans overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Simba vs Young Africans
| Probability | Simba | Draw | Young Africans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.8% | 33.5% | 22.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 43.8% | 33.5% | 22.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Simba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
Simba vs Young Africans match preview
Simba and Young Africans are set to clash in the Tanzania Premier League on October 10, 2026. Simba enters the match with strong recent form, having won their last six games, while Young Africans have also been performing well with five wins and one draw in their last six matches. The model probabilities indicate a 44% chance of a Simba victory, a 33% chance of a draw, and a 23% chance of a Young Africans win.
The expected goals suggest Simba is likely to score 1.15, while Young Africans are projected at 0.75. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Simba, with a 16% probability. Additionally, there is a 30% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance that both teams will score. In their last two encounters, neither team has secured a win, with two draws recorded.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Simba and Young Africans expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.90
Simba and Young Africans attack and defence ratings
Simba
Young Africans
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Simba vs Young Africans markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 43.8% | 2.28 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.6% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 43.8% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Young Africans | 22.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.4% |
| No | 62.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.2% |
| 1-0 | 15.9% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Simba vs Young Africans stats
Simba and Young Africans recent form
| Simba |
WWWWWW |
| Young Africans |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Simba and Young Africans season so far
Simba record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Young Africans record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Simba vs Young Africans head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Simba | Young Africans | Tanzania Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Young Africans | Simba | Tanzania Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Young Africans | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Simba | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Young Africans | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Simba | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-5 |
| 2023-04-16 | Simba | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-0 |
| 2022-10-23 | Young Africans | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-30 | Young Africans | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-11 | Simba | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.