Tanzania Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Simba
vs
Young Africans
2 – 1 Full time
| 6′ | P. Shalulile | ||
| 25′ | D. AbuyaF. Ngoma | ||
| 36′ | A. Kangwanda | ||
| 46′ | H. ZakouaniC. Mzize | ||
| 62′ | F. Ngoma | ||
| 63′ | C. ChamaK. Makgalwa | ||
| 65′ | A. KangwandaKomara | ||
| 65′ | M. YahyaE. Mwijage | ||
| 68′ | N. Maema | ||
| 72′ | E. Mpanzu | ||
| 78′ | B. MwamnyetoS. Abushiri | ||
| 81′ | A. Mligo | ||
| 86′ | A. A. OuraI. Jabaar | ||
| 86′ | E. MpanzuI. Doumbia | ||
| 90′ | N. MaemaM. Abraham | ||
| 90′ | A. Rafiu Kassali |
Simba
37%
Draw
32%
Young Africans
32%
Simba vs Young Africans overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Simba vs Young Africans
| Probability | Simba | Draw | Young Africans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 43.6% | 33.5% | 22.9% |
| Market | 34.5% | 31.0% | 34.5% |
| Final | 36.8% | 31.6% | 31.6% |
| Edge | +2.3% | +0.6% | -2.9% |
Why Simba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.15 vs 0.76.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 5 for the opposition.
- The market prices Simba below our published probability: +2.3 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
84%
2+ goals
58%
3+ goals
30%
No goals
16%
Simba and Young Africans expected goals
Simba
1.15
Young Africans
0.76
Total expected goals: 1.90
Simba and Young Africans attack and defence ratings
Simba
Attack
1.71 +71%
Defence
0.46 -54%
Young Africans
Attack
1.81 +81%
Defence
0.50 -50%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Simba vs Young Africans: result vs prediction
Simba 2 – 1 Young Africans
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
Before and after this match
Simba vs Young Africans markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 36.8% | 2.72 | +2.3% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 70.3% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 62.5% | 1.60 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 68.4% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.4% | 1.77 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 36.8% |
| Draw | 31.6% | |
| Young Africans | 31.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 29.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 70.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 37.5% |
| No | 62.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 68.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 68.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 63.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 19.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 56.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 16.2% |
| 1-0 | 15.8% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Simba vs Young Africans stats
Simba and Young Africans recent form
| Simba |
WWWWWW |
| Young Africans |
WWDWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Simba and Young Africans going into this match
Simba record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Young Africans record
- They have won 6 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
Simba vs Young Africans head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
1Simba wins
5Draws
4Young Africans wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Simba | Young Africans | Tanzania Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2026-03-01 | Young Africans | Simba | Tanzania Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-06-25 | Young Africans | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-19 | Simba | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-1 |
| 2024-04-20 | Young Africans | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-1 |
| 2023-11-05 | Simba | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-5 |
| 2023-04-16 | Simba | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-0 |
| 2022-10-23 | Young Africans | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-1 |
| 2022-04-30 | Young Africans | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-11 | Simba | Young Africans | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Simba vs Young Africans odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.5%, draw 31.0%, away 34.5%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 2.60 | 2.90 | 2.60 |
| Betano | 2.62 | 2.90 | 2.62 |
| Betfair | 2.63 | 3.00 | 2.55 |
| Dafabet | 2.60 | 2.90 | 2.70 |
| Marathonbet | 2.58 | 2.88 | 2.58 |