Simba
vs
Mashujaa
6 – 1 Full time
| 16′ | L. Gueye | ||
| 32′ | Mashujaa | ||
| 33′ | E. Mpanzu | ||
| 45′ | Mashujaa | ||
| 45′ | Mashujaa | ||
| 53′ | A. A. Oura | ||
| 59′ | E. Mpanzu | ||
| 62′ | M. Abraham | ||
| 64′ | S. Bwenzi | ||
| 69′ | O. Toure |
Simba vs Mashujaa overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Simba vs Mashujaa
| Probability | Simba | Draw | Mashujaa |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 77.5% | 17.4% | 5.2% |
| Market | 78.2% | 16.0% | 5.8% |
| Final | 78.0% | 16.4% | 5.6% |
| Edge | -0.2% | +0.3% | -0.2% |
Why Simba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.18 vs 0.42.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Simba and Mashujaa expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.60
Simba and Mashujaa attack and defence ratings
Simba
Mashujaa
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Simba vs Mashujaa: result vs prediction
Simba 6 – 1 Mashujaa
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Simba vs Mashujaa markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 78.0% | 1.28 | -0.2% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.8% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 68.7% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.4% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 78.0% |
| Draw | 16.4% | |
| Mashujaa | 5.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 31.3% |
| No | 68.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 94.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 83.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 22.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 53.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.2% | |
| Loss | 22.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 17.6% |
| 1-0 | 15.5% | |
| 3-0 | 12.8% |
Simba vs Mashujaa stats
Simba and Mashujaa recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Simba and Mashujaa going into this match
Simba record
- They have won 7 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 7 matches.
Mashujaa record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Simba vs Mashujaa head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-14 | Mashujaa | Simba | Tanzania Premier League | 0-3 |
| 2026-01-29 | Simba | Mashujaa | Tanzania Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-05-02 | Simba | Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-1 |
| 2024-11-01 | Mashujaa | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-1 |
| 2024-03-15 | Simba | Mashujaa | Ligi kuu Bara | 2-0 |
| 2024-02-03 | Mashujaa | Simba | Ligi kuu Bara | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Simba vs Mashujaa odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 78.2%, draw 16.0%, away 5.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.12 | 5.60 | 18.00 |
| Bet365 | 1.14 | 6.25 | 15.00 |
| Betano | 1.16 | 5.60 | 15.00 |
| Betfair | 1.20 | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.16 | 5.80 | 16.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.12 | 5.60 | 18.25 |