15 de Agosto
vs
Simba
1 – 6 Full time
| 43′ | N. Chilambo | ||
| 56′ | E. Mpanzu | ||
| 65′ | I. Doumbia | ||
| 72′ | K. Makgalwa | ||
| 82′ | A. A. Oura | ||
| 88′ | I. Doumbia | ||
| 90′ | 15 de Agosto |
Match stats
| 2 | Shots | 25 |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shots on target | 11 |
| 36 | Possession % | 64 |
| 2 | Corners | 9 |
15 de Agosto vs Simba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: 15 de Agosto vs Simba
| Probability | 15 de Agosto | Draw | Simba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.6% | 28.0% | 47.4% |
| Market | 5.5% | 13.4% | 81.1% |
| Final | 10.3% | 17.1% | 72.6% |
| Edge | +4.8% | +3.6% | -8.4% |
Why Simba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.54 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
15 de Agosto and Simba expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.59
15 de Agosto and Simba attack and defence ratings
15 de Agosto
Simba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
15 de Agosto vs Simba: result vs prediction
15 de Agosto 1 – 6 Simba
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
15 de Agosto vs Simba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 72.6% | 1.38 | -8.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.2% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 89.7% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 15 de Agosto | 10.3% |
| Draw | 17.1% | |
| Simba | 72.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.2% |
| No | 47.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 27.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 89.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 24.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.6% | |
| Loss | 52.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.4% |
| 0-1 | 10.4% | |
| 1-2 | 9.3% |
15 de Agosto vs Simba stats
15 de Agosto and Simba recent form
| 15 de Agosto |
WWLDWL |
| Simba |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
15 de Agosto vs Simba head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
15 de Agosto vs Simba odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 5.5%, draw 13.4%, away 81.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 16.50 | 6.75 | 1.09 |
| Bet365 | 19.00 | 7.00 | 1.12 |
| Betano | 16.50 | 5.90 | 1.14 |
| Betfair | 16.00 | 7.00 | 1.10 |
| Dafabet | 20.00 | 7.40 | 1.13 |
| Marathonbet | 16.50 | 6.75 | 1.09 |
| William Hill | 19.00 | 6.00 | 1.14 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
5 snapshots recorded, from .