CAF Champions League
·
Full time
·2nd Preliminary Round
Simba
vs
15 de Agosto
3 – 0 Full time
Simba
94%
Draw
4%
15 de Agosto
1%
Simba vs 15 de Agosto overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Simba vs 15 de Agosto
| Probability | Simba | Draw | 15 de Agosto |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 94.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 94.3% | 4.3% | 1.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Simba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 4.50 vs 0.63.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
99%
2+ goals
97%
3+ goals
89%
No goals
1%
Simba and 15 de Agosto expected goals
Simba
4.50
15 de Agosto
0.63
Total expected goals: 5.13
Simba and 15 de Agosto attack and defence ratings
Simba
Attack
2.54 +154%
Defence
0.64 -36%
15 de Agosto
Attack
1.32 +32%
Defence
1.45 +45%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Simba vs 15 de Agosto: result vs prediction
Simba 3 – 0 15 de Agosto
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other 2nd Preliminary Round fixtures
- EL Merriekh Bentiu vs Pyramids FC — team news & stats
- APR vs Zamalek SC
- CFFA vs Young Africans — team news & stats
- African Stars vs Orlando Pirates
- TP Mazembe v Club Africain — match page
- Star Sport Academy v Renaissance Berkane — match page
- San-Pédro vs Nouadhibou
- Sidama Bunna vs Al Hilal Omdurman — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Simba vs 15 de Agosto markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 94.3% | 1.06 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.4% | 1.87 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 98.6% | 1.01 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 94.3% |
| Draw | 4.3% | |
| 15 de Agosto | 1.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 88.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 11.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.6% |
| No | 53.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 98.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 95.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 5.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 85.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 8.6% | |
| Loss | 5.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 4-0 | 10.1% |
| 5-0 | 9.1% | |
| 3-0 | 9.0% |
Simba vs 15 de Agosto stats
Simba and 15 de Agosto recent form
| Simba |
WWWWWW |
| 15 de Agosto |
LWWLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Simba vs 15 de Agosto head-to-head
Last 1 meetings
1Simba wins
0Draws
015 de Agosto wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-10-21 | 15 de Agosto | Simba | CAF Champions League | 1-6 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.