Fountain Gate
vs
Pamba Jiji
1 – 1 Full time
| 7′ | Pamba Jiji | ||
| 12′ | Fountain Gate |
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji
| Probability | Fountain Gate | Draw | Pamba Jiji |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.1% | 28.5% | 33.4% |
| Market | 34.3% | 28.8% | 36.9% |
| Final | 35.2% | 28.7% | 36.0% |
| Edge | +0.9% | -0.1% | -0.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.65
Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji attack and defence ratings
Fountain Gate
Pamba Jiji
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji: result vs prediction
Fountain Gate 1 – 1 Pamba Jiji
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pamba Jiji | 36.0% | 2.77 | -0.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.3% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 66.6% | 1.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fountain Gate | 35.2% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Pamba Jiji | 36.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.1% |
| No | 44.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 64.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 64.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pamba Jiji win | 15.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 18.3% | |
| Loss | 66.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.5% |
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji stats
Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji recent form
| Fountain Gate |
LDLLLW |
| Pamba Jiji |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji going into this match
Fountain Gate record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Pamba Jiji record
- They have won 1 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji head-to-head
Last 4 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Fountain Gate | Pamba Jiji | Tanzania Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Pamba Jiji | Fountain Gate | Tanzania Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-08 | Pamba Jiji | Fountain Gate | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-1 |
| 2024-11-05 | Fountain Gate | Pamba Jiji | Ligi kuu Bara | 1-3 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 34.3%, draw 28.8%, away 36.9%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.41 |
| Bet365 | 2.62 | 3.10 | 2.38 |
| Betano | 2.67 | 3.10 | 2.42 |
| Betfair | 2.60 | 3.25 | 2.45 |
| Dafabet | 2.55 | 3.10 | 2.60 |
| Marathonbet | 2.60 | 3.10 | 2.41 |