Fountain Gate
vs
Pamba Jiji
Garuda Lions Prediction: Fountain Gate
2 – 1 Predicted score · 9% model probability
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji
| Probability | Fountain Gate | Draw | Pamba Jiji |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 37.9% | 28.5% | 33.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 37.9% | 28.5% | 33.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji match preview
Fountain Gate faces Pamba Jiji in a Tanzania Premier League match on October 16, 2026. According to our model, Fountain Gate has a 38% chance of winning, while Pamba Jiji has a 34% chance, with a 28% probability of a draw. The expected goals for Fountain Gate are 1.38, slightly ahead of Pamba Jiji's 1.28. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Fountain Gate, with a 9% probability.
In terms of recent form, Fountain Gate has struggled with a record of L-D-L-L-L-W, while Pamba Jiji has also faced difficulties, recording W-L-L-L-L-L. In their last two head-to-head encounters, Pamba Jiji has won both matches against Fountain Gate. The model indicates a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 55% likelihood that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.66
Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji attack and defence ratings
Fountain Gate
Pamba Jiji
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fountain Gate | 37.9% | 2.64 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.3% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.5% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 62.4% | 1.60 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Fountain Gate | 37.9% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Pamba Jiji | 33.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 55.3% |
| No | 44.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 66.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 62.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Fountain Gate win | 17.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 62.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 2-1 | 8.5% | |
| 1-0 | 8.4% |
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji stats
Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji recent form
| Fountain Gate |
LDLLLW |
| Pamba Jiji |
WLLLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Fountain Gate and Pamba Jiji season so far
Fountain Gate record
- They have won 1 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.3 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 6 matches.
Pamba Jiji record
- They have won 0 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Fountain Gate vs Pamba Jiji head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-30 | Fountain Gate | Pamba Jiji | Tanzania Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-11-23 | Pamba Jiji | Fountain Gate | Tanzania Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.