Namungo
vs
Polisi Tanzania
Garuda Lions Prediction: Polisi Tanzania
0 – 1 Predicted score · 10% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania
| Probability | Namungo | Draw | Polisi Tanzania |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 33.2% | 30.3% | 36.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 33.2% | 30.3% | 36.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania match preview
Namungo faces Polisi Tanzania in the Tanzania Premier League with a predicted probability of 33% for a Namungo win, 30% for a draw, and 37% for a Polisi Tanzania victory. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring with a 10% probability. Expected goals for Namungo stand at 1.17, while Polisi Tanzania is projected at 1.27.
In terms of recent form, Namungo has recorded a win followed by four losses and another win, while Polisi Tanzania's latest results include a draw, a loss, a win, another loss, and a win. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44%, and both teams scoring is projected at 51%. The confidence grade for this match is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Namungo and Polisi Tanzania expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.39
Namungo and Polisi Tanzania attack and defence ratings
Namungo
Polisi Tanzania
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
Before and after this match
Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polisi Tanzania | 36.5% | 2.74 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 57.3% | 1.75 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 69.7% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.5% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Namungo | 33.2% |
| Draw | 30.3% | |
| Polisi Tanzania | 36.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 42.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 57.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 49.9% |
| No | 50.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 66.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Polisi Tanzania win | 16.3% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.1% | |
| Loss | 63.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.4% |
| 0-0 | 10.5% | |
| 0-1 | 10.0% |
Namungo vs Polisi Tanzania stats
Namungo and Polisi Tanzania recent form
| Namungo |
WLLLLW |
| Polisi Tanzania |
DDLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Namungo and Polisi Tanzania season so far
Namungo record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
Polisi Tanzania record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- 40% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.