Simba
vs
Namungo
Garuda Lions Prediction: Simba
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.74 vs 0.46.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Simba vs Namungo overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Simba vs Namungo
| Probability | Simba | Draw | Namungo |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 84.3% | 12.1% | 3.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 84.3% | 12.1% | 3.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Simba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.74 vs 0.46.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Simba vs Namungo match preview
Simba enters the match against Namungo with a strong probability of winning at 84%, having achieved six consecutive victories in their recent form. The model predicts a likely scoreline of 2-0, with an expected goals tally of 2.74 for Simba compared to just 0.46 for Namungo. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 62%, while both teams scoring is estimated at 35%.
Namungo, on the other hand, has shown a mixed performance recently, winning three of their last six matches but suffering two consecutive losses. In their last two encounters, Simba has dominated with two wins and no draws or losses against Namungo. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Simba and Namungo expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.20
Simba and Namungo attack and defence ratings
Simba
Namungo
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
Before and after this match
Simba vs Namungo markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 84.3% | 1.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.4% | 1.04 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 84.3% |
| Draw | 12.1% | |
| Namungo | 3.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 38.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 35.1% |
| No | 64.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 96.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 15.7% | |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 64.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.4% | |
| Loss | 15.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.3% |
| 3-0 | 14.0% | |
| 1-0 | 10.7% |
Simba vs Namungo stats
Simba and Namungo recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Simba and Namungo season so far
Simba record
- They have won 8 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 2.0 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 8 matches.
Namungo record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
Simba vs Namungo head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-19 | Namungo | Simba | Tanzania Premier League | 1-3 |
| 2025-10-01 | Simba | Namungo | Tanzania Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.