JKT Tanzania
vs
Simba
Garuda Lions Prediction: Simba
0 – 2 Predicted score · 11% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.89.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
JKT Tanzania vs Simba overview
Garuda Lions analysis: JKT Tanzania vs Simba
| Probability | JKT Tanzania | Draw | Simba |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 14.5% | 22.3% | 63.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 14.5% | 22.3% | 63.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Simba
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 0.89.
- Better recent form: 6 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
JKT Tanzania vs Simba match preview
JKT Tanzania faces Simba in the Tanzania Premier League, with Simba holding a significant advantage according to our model. The probabilities indicate a 15% chance for JKT Tanzania to win, a 22% likelihood of a draw, and a 63% probability for Simba to secure victory. The expected goals suggest JKT Tanzania will score 0.89, while Simba is projected to net 2.05, pointing towards a likely scoreline of 0-2, which has an 11% chance of occurring.
Recent form shows JKT Tanzania with a mixed record of L-D-W-W-W-L, while Simba is on a strong winning streak with six consecutive victories. In their last two encounters, JKT Tanzania has not managed to secure any wins or draws against Simba, who has won both matches. The model indicates a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and a 52% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
JKT Tanzania and Simba expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.94
JKT Tanzania and Simba attack and defence ratings
JKT Tanzania
Simba
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
JKT Tanzania vs Simba markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Simba | 63.2% | 1.58 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% | 1.78 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 39.9% | 2.51 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | JKT Tanzania | 14.5% |
| Draw | 22.3% | |
| Simba | 63.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 56.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 43.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.4% |
| No | 47.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 36.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 85.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Simba win | 39.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 36.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 11.1% |
| 1-1 | 10.6% | |
| 1-2 | 9.9% |
JKT Tanzania vs Simba stats
JKT Tanzania and Simba recent form
| JKT Tanzania |
LDWWWL |
| Simba |
WWWWWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
JKT Tanzania and Simba season so far
JKT Tanzania record
- They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Simba record
- They have won 9 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 1.8 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 9 matches.
JKT Tanzania vs Simba head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Simba | JKT Tanzania | Tanzania Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-08 | JKT Tanzania | Simba | Tanzania Premier League | 1-2 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.