Azam
vs
Singida Black Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Azam
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.84.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Azam vs Singida Black Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Azam vs Singida Black Stars
| Probability | Azam | Draw | Singida Black Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 58.1% | 25.4% | 16.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 58.1% | 25.4% | 16.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Azam
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.76 vs 0.84.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Azam vs Singida Black Stars match preview
Azam enters the match against Singida Black Stars with a strong probability of winning at 58%, while the visitors have a 17% chance of securing a victory. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Azam, with expected goals of 1.76 for Azam compared to 0.84 for Singida Black Stars. Recent form shows Azam with three wins in their last five matches, while Singida Black Stars has experienced mixed results with two wins, two draws, and a loss.
In their last two encounters, Azam has secured one win and one draw against Singida Black Stars, who have yet to win in this matchup. Both teams have a 48% probability of scoring, and there is a 48% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals. The confidence grade for this prediction is C, indicating moderate certainty in the outcome.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Azam and Singida Black Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.61
Azam and Singida Black Stars attack and defence ratings
Azam
Singida Black Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Azam vs Singida Black Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Azam | 58.1% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.7% | 1.93 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 41.9% | 2.39 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Azam | 58.1% |
| Draw | 25.4% | |
| Singida Black Stars | 16.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 48.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 51.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.3% |
| No | 51.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 41.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Azam win | 33.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.3% | |
| Loss | 41.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.1% |
| 1-0 | 11.9% | |
| 2-0 | 11.5% |
Azam vs Singida Black Stars stats
Azam and Singida Black Stars recent form
| Azam |
WWWDWL |
| Singida Black Stars |
LWDWLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Azam and Singida Black Stars season so far
Azam record
- They have won 6 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- They have converted 2 of 3 penalties (67%).
- 42% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Singida Black Stars record
- They have won 4 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.7 goals per match.
- They average 2.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Azam vs Singida Black Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-01 | Singida Black Stars | Azam | Tanzania Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2025-12-03 | Azam | Singida Black Stars | Tanzania Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.