Polisi Tanzania
vs
Young Africans
Garuda Lions Prediction: Young Africans
0 – 1 Predicted score · 12% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.91.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans
| Probability | Polisi Tanzania | Draw | Young Africans |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 21.9% | 28.7% | 49.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 21.9% | 28.7% | 49.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Young Africans
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.49 vs 0.91.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans match preview
In the upcoming Tanzania Premier League match, Polisi Tanzania faces Young Africans. According to our model, Polisi Tanzania has a 22% chance of winning, while Young Africans holds a 49% probability of victory, with a 29% likelihood of a draw. The expected goals for Polisi Tanzania are 0.91, compared to Young Africans' 1.49. The most likely scoreline predicted is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 12%.
Recent form shows Polisi Tanzania with a record of W-L-D-D-L-W, while Young Africans has performed strongly with W-W-D-W-W-L. The model indicates a 43% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 48% probability that both teams will score in the match. Overall, the confidence grade for this forecast is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Polisi Tanzania and Young Africans expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.40
Polisi Tanzania and Young Africans attack and defence ratings
Polisi Tanzania
Young Africans
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Africans | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 56.9% | 1.76 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.4% | 1.91 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Polisi Tanzania | 21.9% |
| Draw | 28.7% | |
| Young Africans | 49.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 43.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 56.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.6% |
| No | 52.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 50.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 78.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Young Africans win | 25.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 50.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.5% |
| 0-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-0 | 10.3% |
Polisi Tanzania vs Young Africans stats
Polisi Tanzania and Young Africans recent form
| Polisi Tanzania |
WLDDLW |
| Young Africans |
WWDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Polisi Tanzania and Young Africans season so far
Polisi Tanzania record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Young Africans record
- They have won 7 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 2.1 goals per match.
- They average 2.6 goals per game at home against 1.5 on the road.
- They have kept 5 clean sheets in 9 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.