Pamba Jiji
vs
Coastal Union
Garuda Lions Prediction: Pamba Jiji
1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union
| Probability | Pamba Jiji | Draw | Coastal Union |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 38.6% | 33.0% | 28.3% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 38.6% | 33.0% | 28.3% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union match preview
Pamba Jiji faces Coastal Union in a Tanzania Premier League matchup with kickoff scheduled for November 21, 2026. According to our model, Pamba Jiji has a 39% probability of winning, while Coastal Union stands at 28%, with a 33% chance of a draw. The expected goals for Pamba Jiji are 1.12, compared to Coastal Union's 0.92. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Pamba Jiji, occurring at a rate of 13%.
In terms of recent form, Pamba Jiji has recorded two losses, followed by two draws, and one win, while Coastal Union comes in with a draw, two wins, and two losses in their last five matches. The head-to-head record shows both teams with one win each in their last two encounters. Our model indicates a 33% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 42% chance that both teams will score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Pamba Jiji and Coastal Union expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.03
Pamba Jiji and Coastal Union attack and defence ratings
Pamba Jiji
Coastal Union
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 12 fixtures
Before and after this match
Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pamba Jiji | 38.6% | 2.59 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.3% | 1.72 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.7% | 1.40 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 61.4% | 1.63 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Pamba Jiji | 38.6% |
| Draw | 33.0% | |
| Coastal Union | 28.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 33.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 66.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.7% |
| No | 58.3% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 71.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 67.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 61.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Pamba Jiji win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 61.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.7% |
| 0-0 | 14.4% | |
| 1-0 | 13.3% |
Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union stats
Pamba Jiji and Coastal Union recent form
| Pamba Jiji |
LLDDWL |
| Coastal Union |
DWLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Pamba Jiji and Coastal Union season so far
Pamba Jiji record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Coastal Union record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Pamba Jiji vs Coastal Union head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-30 | Coastal Union | Pamba Jiji | Tanzania Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2026-02-06 | Pamba Jiji | Coastal Union | Tanzania Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.